2021 All-Star Race NASCAR Cup Series Race Preview, Odds, Props and Predictions
Sunday, June 13, 2021
by LVSB Team

Kyle Larson Looks to Continue His Blazing Hot Streak

2021 All-Star Race NASCAR Cup Series Race Preview, Odds, Props and Predictions

The NASCAR All Star is taking place Sunday night in Texas and off the hop it’s fair to say that the rules should make for an exciting and complicated race.

The only drivers eligible to compete are those who have won a race in the previous season, NASCAR champs and past All Star winners. That means the field will be about half of a usual race.

The rules, according to NASCAR.com are as follows:

  • Starting lineup set by random draw.
  • Round 1: 15 laps. After this round, the field will be inverted starting anywhere from the eighth through 12th positions, to be selected by a random draw.
  • Round 2: 15 laps, with entire field inverted after this segment.
  • Round 3: 15 laps, again the field will be inverted starting anywhere from the eighth through 12th positions, to be selected by a random draw after this round.
  • Round 4: 15 laps.
  • Round 5: 30 laps. The lineup for this round will be determined by cumulative finish from the first four rounds, with the best cumulative finisher starting from the pole. Any ties in the aggregate score will be broken by (in order): Most career All-Star wins, most career Cup Series points race wins or 2021 Cup Series driver standings. All cars must enter pit road for a mandatory four-tire pit stop during this round. The crew with the fastest stop will pocket $100,000.
  • Round 6: 10 laps. Cars will line up according to their finishing position from the previous round for the final segment.

Because of the random draws in the early rounds, randomness will certainly be at play. The smart choices are therefore to pick the most aggressive drivers who can push their way to the front as well as the fastest cars.

Kyle Larson (+350) is the overwhelming favorite because he’s had the best car all season and now he’s got the results to match. He’s had a run for the ages with two straight wins and three straight top-three results prior to that. He’s also a previous winner, having taken this event in 2019.

Chase Elliott (+700) is the second favorite and could very likely be Larson’s main competition. He’s the defending All-Star champion and NASCAR champion. He’s also finished second to Larson the last two weeks and had a win and a third-place finish in the two races prior to that.

Martin Truex Jr. (+850) has a long history of success on intermediate tracks and he’s tied with Larson for the series lead with three wins apiece. But he has not been great the past couple of seasons with car setups that involve high downforce packages. The split-second turning has prompted a series of missed lane choices, aggressive blocks and pushes.

Brad Keselowski (+1500) has not performed well of late, with no top-ten results in his last five races, but he’s an excellent intermediate pick here. He’s been terrific with the downforce package and is great at gaining position through restarts- which is something that is bound to happen regularly at this event.

Kurt Busch (+3000) is carrying long odds and he’s having his worst season this year. But last week in Sonoma he had his best result February, a sixth-place finish. In a race that figures to involve luck and randomness, a seasoned driver like Busch could be in a terrific position to capitalize.

Read on to see our pick for this week.

NASCAR Race: All-Star Race
Date: Sunday, June 13, 2021
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Track: Texas Motor Speedway
Track Type: Super Speedway
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Laps: 50
Last Year Winner: Chase Elliott
Last Race Winner: Kyle Larson
Last Race 2nd Place: Chase Elliott
Points Leaders: Denny Hamlin
Television: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET FS1
Radio: MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio

Bet on All-Star Race at Bovada Sportsbook and get a free 50% bonus.

Here are the Odds for the Top Drivers:

Monster Energy
NASCAR All Star Race @ Texas Motor Speedway
Kyle Larson #5    +350
Chase Elliott #9    +700
Kyle Busch #18    +700
Martin Truex Jr. #19    +850
Denny Hamlin #11    +925
Joey Logano #22    +1100
Kevin Harvick #4    +1200
Ryan Blaney #12    +1200
William Byron #24    +1300
Alex Bowman #48    +1400
Brad Keselowski #2    +1500
Austin Dillon #3    +2200
Christopher Bell #20    +2500
Kurt Busch #1    +3000
Michael McDowell #34    +5500
Cole Custer #41    +7700
Ryan Newman #6    +7700

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

The Prediction: (Kyle Larson +350)
The man with the fastest car, racing with a ton of confidence should be able to make ground if he has to start towards the back in the final race or keep his competitors at bay if he’s near the top.

Good Value Prediction: (Brad Keselowski +1500)
One of the streakiest drivers on the circuit, could capitalize from the format here and jumpstart his season.

The Long Shot: (Kurt Busch +3000)
If those early random draws go his way, his aggressive driving style could be enough to pull off a huge surprise at the end.

Propping up:

  1. Take Joey Logano #22 +130 for Top 5 Finish
  2. Take Over 4.5 Total Cautions at -115
  3. Driver H2H Match Up Take Denny Hamlin #11 -115 over Kyle Busch #18
  4. Long Shot Bets - Kurt Busch #1 +450 for Top 5 Finish

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chase elliott - denny hamlin - kyle larson - texas motor speedway

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