2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 NASCAR Cup Series Race Preview, Odds, Props and Predictions
Sunday, May 02, 2021
by LVSB Team

Favorites Usually Roll in Kansas

2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 NASCAR Cup Series Race Preview, Betting Odds, Props and Predictions

It sounds like a practical joke, the Buschy McBusch Race. What it is? The name that fans voted for this year after new title sponser Busch Beer decided to make an open vote with all proceeds going to charity.

But what is no joke is the list of past winners. This is the 11th ever race from this Kansas track and each of the previous winners has been among the favorites, including two-time victor, Brad Keselowski (+800).

Perhaps this week will then be a return to normal where the favorites rule in a NASCAR season that is so often bringing lesser-known drivers to the podium.

Keselowski won in Talladega last week, but only after some heroic racing at the very end over both Matt DiBenedetto and Michael McDowell.

Of the ten previous winners here, the only driver who hasn’t also won the season championship is Denny Hamlin (+550). And all he’s done this year is lead NASCAR in the points standings by a country mile. However, he’s still looking for his first win after posting eight top-five results in ten races. He’s the co-favorite and a two-time winner here, including last July.

Martin Truex Jr. (+600) odds started at +700, but it’s no surprise they’ve gone up as he’s also been dominant on this track. He won both races in 2017 and has finished top-6 in six of his last eight races here. Plus he’s got two wins this season.

The other co-favorite is Kyle Larson (+550) even though he has cooled after his hot start this season with a big-time team in Hendrick Motor. He’s finished DNF-18-5-29-35 in his last five races.

Alex Bowman (+1900) is a terrific medium-shot pick if you’re willing to bet beyond the favorites. He’s got a lot of success on this track finishing third last year and second in 2019 and a lifetime average finish of eighth. He’s also picked up a win this season among some up and down results.

If you want to go really long, DiBenedetto (+5500) could be your man. He finished fifth last week, and last year in Las Vegas he finished in second place twice. That 1.5 mile track is most similar to this one. He finished 12 last year in Kansas and as a result of his positive result in Talladega, will start this race from the fifth spot.

Read on to see our pick for this week.

NASCAR Race: Buschy McBusch Race 400
Date: Sunday, May 2, 2021
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Track: Kansas Speedway
Track Type: Speedway
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Laps: 267
Last Year Winner: Denny Hamlin
Last Race Winner: Brad Keselowski
Last Race 2nd Place: William Byron
Points Leaders: Denny Hamlin
Television: Sunday, 3:00 p.m. ET FS1
Radio: MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio

Bet on Buschy McBusch Race 400 at Bovada Sportsbook and get a free 50% bonus.

Here are the Odds for the Top Drivers:

Monster Energy
Buschy McBusch 400 @ Kansas Speedway
Kyle Larson #5    +550
Denny Hamlin #11    +550
Martin Truex Jr. #19    +600
Ryan Blaney #12    +800
Brad Keselowski #2    +800
Chase Elliott #9    +900
Kevin Harvick #4    +950
Joey Logano #22    +1000
Kyle Busch #18    +1200
William Byron #24    +1600
Alex Bowman #48    +1900
Christopher Bell #20    +2500
Kurt Busch #1    +3500
Tyler Reddick #8    +3500
Austin Dillon #3    +5500
Matt DiBenedetto #21    +5500
Aric Almirola #10    +6600
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. #47    +9000

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

The Prediction: (Denny Hamlin #11 at +550)
The way he’s run this season, he’s due a victory and this is one of his favorite tracks. As mentioned up above, in a season where five of the ten winners have already been longshots, laying some money on both Alex Bowman (+1900) and Matt DiBenedetto (+5500) makes a lot of sense as well.

Propping up:

  1. Take Joey Logano #22 +260 for Top 3 Finish
  2. Take Alex Bowman #48 +260 for Top 5 Finish
  3. Take Over 7.5 Total Cautions at -110
  4. Driver H2H Match Up Take Alex Bowman #48 -105 over William Byron #24
  5. Long Shot Bets - Matt DiBenedetto #21 +750 for Top 5 Finish

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* Tags
brad keselowski - denny hamlin - kansas speedway - william byron

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