2021 Kentucky Derby Odds, Betting Preview, Trifecta & Free Props Predictions
Saturday, May 01, 2021
by LVSB Team

Essential Quality and Rock Your World Both Undefeated Heading into the Kentucky Derby

2021 Kentucky Derby Odds, Betting Preview, Trifecta & Free Props Predictions

The starting positions are set and we are on the eve of the first Kentucky Derby to take place in May in two years. The most exciting two minutes in horse racing is here and with it come two undefeated horses starting side by side on Saturday.

Essential Quality +275, the favorite is starting from the 14th position and Rock Your World +500 is right beside him in 15th.

Essential Quality at 5-0 has yet to lose in five career races as a two and three-year old.

Rock Your World is 3-0 and had his first race on dirt in the Santa Anita Derby and he was quick while blowing away the competition

A popular upset pick, King Fury +4000 set to start from 16 was scratched on the eve of the Derby.

Read on to see our picks to win, and several more of our favorite props…

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Kentucky Derby - Churchill Downs - Race 12
1. Known Agenda   +700
2. Like The King   +4000
3. Brooklyn Strong   +5500
4. Keepmeinmind   +5000
5. Sainthood   +4500
6. O Besos   +2800
7. Mandaloun   +2200
8. Medina Spirit   +1400
9. Hot Rod Charlie   +700
10. Midnight Bourbon   +1800
11. Dynamic One   +3000
12. Helium   +5000
13. Hidden Stash   +5000
14. Essential Quality   +275
15. Rock Your World   +500
17. Highly Motivated   +1100
18. Super Stock   +3000
19. Soup and Sandwich   +3000
20. Bourbonic   +4000

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

Kentucky Derby Predictions: Rock Your World +500
Speed is still king. Rock Your World should be up with the pacesetters and should have enough left in the tank to hold off Essential Quality for the upset win.

 

Kentucky Derby
Quinella (1st/2nd any order)
Top Favorites

14. Essential Quality / 15. Rock Your World   +750
1. Known Agenda / 14. Essential Quality   +1000
9. Hot Rod Charlie / 14. Essential Quality   +1000
14. Essential Quality / 17. Highly Motivated   +1600
1. Known Agenda / 15. Rock Your World   +1800
9. Hot Rod Charlie / 15. Rock Your World   +1800
8. Medina Spirit / 14. Essential Quality   +2200
1. Known Agenda / 9. Hot Rod Charlie   +2500
10. Midnight Bourbon / 14. Essential Quality   +2800
7. Mandaloun / 14. Essential Quality   +3000
15. Rock Your World / 17. Highly Motivated   +3000
6. O Besos / 14. Essential Quality   +3500
8. Medina Spirit / 15. Rock Your World   +3500
1. Known Agenda / 17. Highly Motivated   +4000
9. Hot Rod Charlie / 17. Highly Motivated   +4000
11. Dynamic One / 14. Essential Quality   +4000
14. Essential Quality / 18. Super Stock   +4000
14. Essential Quality / 19. Soup and Sandwich   +4000
1. Known Agenda / 8. Medina Spirit   +4500
10. Midnight Bourbon / 15. Rock Your World   +4500

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

Kentucky Derby Predictions: 14. Essential Quality / 15. Rock Your World +750
I know it’s boring to pick the favorites, but sometimes boring wins. These two horses have been the classes of the field and the final should come down to these two in a classic battle down the stretch

 

2021 Kentucky Derby - Matchups
Race Matchup - 11. Dynamic One v 9. Hot Rod Charlie

11. Dynamic One   +185
9. Hot Rod Charlie   -250

Kentucky Derby Matchup 1: Dynamic One +185
Hot Rod Charlie is the third favorite in the field, but I like Dynamic One as a sleeper to show, so I’ll take the upset here.

2021 Kentucky Derby - Matchups
Race Matchup - 2. Like The King v 7. Mandaloun

2. Like The King   +140
7. Mandaloun   -185

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

Kentucky Derby Matchup 2: Like the King +140
Like the King has the longest odds in the field, but he’s shown he can keep pace. I don’t expect him to be in the top-three, but a race towards a top five result is in his grasp and that makes him a good pick here.

 

2021 Kentucky Derby - Margin Of Victory
Dead Heat    +5000
Nose    +1600
Head    +1200
Neck    +1200
0.5 to 0.75 Lengths    +600
1 to 2.75 Lengths    +105
3 to 5.75 Lengths    +350
6 to 7.75 Lengths    +700
8 to 10.75 Lengths    +1000
11 to 14.75 Lengths    +1600
15 or More Lengths    +2000

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

Kentucky Derby Margin of Victory: Head +1200
I think we’re going to get a classic finish in this year’s Derby with an electric starter in Rock your World doing just enough to hold off a furious finish from Essential Quality.

Kentucky Derby Top 3
Two undefeated champs battling it out for supremacy, plus an underdog making it into a top-3 result is my pick for the trifecta.

  1. Win: Rock Your World
  2. Place: Essential Quality
  3. Show: Dynamic One

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