2021 TOUR Championship Preview, FedEx Cup Playoffs Odds, Props and Predictions
Tuesday, August 31, 2021
by LVSB Team

FedEx Playoffs Finish this Weekend with a $15 Million Payout for the Winner

2021 TOUR Championship Preview, FedEx Cup Playoffs Odds, Props and Predictions

The PGA Tour Champion will be crowned this weekend as the field has been whittled down to the top 30 point getters in the field.

If you’re new to how the FedEx Cup works, all season golfers have been accumulating points based on how they finish at tournaments.

The top 125 competed in the first round of the playoffs and continued to accumulate points based on their results. That tournament was won by Tony Finau (+650). Last week the top-70 point competed and in a dramatic playoff. Patrick Cantlay (+400) emerged victorious over Bryson DeChambeau (+500).

That win put him in the points lead and now the field has been whittled down to the top-30.

The players begin the tournament with an assigned score, based on where they rank in the standings.

Cantlay begins play a -10 and he’ll have a two-stroke lead over Finau, who is in second place.

Bryson DeChambeau who is in third, starts at 7-under. Jon Rahm (+400) in fourth will start at 6-under and Cameron Smith (+2500) in fifth starts at 5-under.

Golfers in the sixth through 10 spots start at 4-under, 11-15 at 3-under, 16-20 at 2-under, 21-25 at 1-under, 26-30 at even par.

Rahm (+400) is the co-favorite even though he’s starting four shots off the lead because he’s been the best golfer in the world over the last three months. What’s more, he has expressed all along that his strategy is to treat the playoffs like a marathon instead of a sprint. He has not necessarily been trying to win each tournament, rather he’s been saving something in the tank. He also has a strong history of success at East Lake, posting rounds of 67 or better in five of his 16 rounds and he has 11 rounds under par overall.

Cantlay (+400) showed his clutch gene last week, first of all coming from behind on Sunday to force the playoff with DeChambeau and then making all the key putts he needed to emerge victorious in what turned into a 6-hole playoff. It was must-see viewing. Now the question is can he carry that all the way to the title with a bullseye on his back?

DeChambeau (+500) is likely kicking himself for the opportunities missed last week. For as well as he played, including a second round 60, he gave away some key strokes missing some easy puts. Now the hunted becomes the hunter as he looks to win his first FedEx championship and put his up and down season behind him.

Tony Finau (+650) feels like the forgotten man, getting fourth best odds in spite starting in second place at two strokes off the lead. He won two weeks ago and last week finished T15th. But he saved his best for last with a 9-under on Sunday to move up the leaderboard.

Dustin Johnson (+2000) is the defending champion after he shot 11-under after coming into the week with the lead. He also finished third here in 2018, so he has played this course well. This week will be an uphill climb as he starts seven shots off the lead.

Rory McIlroy (+2000) is a two-time FedEx champ, last winning in 2019. In that memorable run to the Cup, he started five shots off the lead. He’ll have to raise the bar this week as he starts eight shots off the lead. He finished T4 last week with a big rally at the end. He has also produced T2 and T7 results at East Lake since 2014.

Cameron Smith (+2500) is not getting a lot of love from the odds makers after finishing a disappointing T34 last week. That dropped him from third to fifth in the rankings. He had jumped up to third after losing in a playoff to Finau the week prior. He finished T5 in his previous tournament at St. Jude. It’s been an up and down season, but he also finished T9 at RBC and T10 at the Masters.

Xander Schauffele (+3300) is getting such long odds because he is also starting eight shots off the lead. But his past results show a golfer who loves this course. He won here as a rookie in 2017, finished in second in 2019 and then finished T2 last year. Last year he started seven shots back and wound up three shots off the pace.

Read on to see our pick to win the 2021 TOUR Championship

Tournament: TOUR Championship
Date: September 2-5, 2021
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Course: ast Lake Golf Club
Par/Yardage: 70 / 7,346
Purse: $60 million (Winner: $15 million)
Field: 30 Players
Last Year Winner: Dustin Johnson
Last Tournament Winner: Patrick Cantlay
Last Tournament Runnerup: Bryson DeChambeau
FedEx Cup Points Leaders: Patrick Cantlay
Thursday-Friday, 1-6 p.m. (Golf Channel)
Saturday, 1-2:30 p.m. (Golf Channel), 2:30-7 p.m. (NBC)
Sunday, 12-1:30 p.m. (Golf Channel), 1:30-6 p.m. (NBC)

Bet on TOUR Championship at Bovada Sportsbook and get a free 50% bonus.

Here are the Odds for the Top Field:

Tour Championship
Jon Rahm    +400
Patrick Cantlay    +400
Bryson DeChambeau    +500
Tony Finau    +650
Justin Thomas    +2000
Dustin Johnson    +2000
Jordan Spieth    +2000
Cameron Smith    +2500
Rory Mcllroy    +2000
Abraham Ancer    +3300
Collin Morikawa    +3300
Harris English    +3300
Sam Burns    +3300
Xander Schauffele    +3300
Louis Oosthuizen    +4000
Sungjae Im    +4000
Viktor Hovland    +4000
Brooks Koepka    +5000
Scottie Scheffler    +8000
Hideki Matsuyama    +10000
Jason Kokrak    +10000
Corey Conners    +12500
Daniel Berger    +12500
Kevin Na    +12500
Joaquin Niemann    +15000
Sergio Garcia    +15000
Billy Horschel    +20000
Erik Van Rooyen    +20000
Stewart Cink    +30000

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

The Prediction: (Jon Rahm +400)
Starting four shots back with four rounds to play is perfectly reasonable for Rahm. My second favorite in this range is DeChambeau. If he can get off to a strong start, having two shots up on Rahm gives him a fighting chance.

Value Pick: (Cameron Smith +2500)
As tempting as it is to go with McIlroy magic, eight shots seems to be too much to overcome. Smith at five shots off the lead with these odds is your best chance for a big payday.

Long Shot to Win: (Xander Schauffele +3300)
This long shot pick is based on just how well he’s played this course over his short career. He’ll need a dominant Thursday to build momentum and he’s more than capable of it.

Propping up:

  1. Take Cameron Smith +200 for Top-5
  2. Take Brooks Koepka +125 for Top-10
  3. Tournament Match Up, Take Abraham Ancer -130 over Rory McIlroy
  4. Winning Margin Take 1 stroke +275
  5. Long Shot Bets - Jon Rahm / Patrick Cantlay +900 Quinella (1st/2nd any order)

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* Tags
bryson dechambeau - dustin johnson - patrick cantlay

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