U.S. Open 2021 Major Tournament Preview, Golf Odds, Value Bet, Props and Predictions
Wednesday, June 16, 2021
by LVSB Team

The Second Golf Major is on Tap this Weekend as World’s Best Set to Compete

U.S. Open 2021 Major Tournament Preview, Golf Odds, Value Bet, Props and Predictions

The US Open is taking place this weekend at one of its most iconic venues, Torrey Pines, South Course from San Diego California. The last time the major took place at this course was way back in 2008 and only two golfers finished below par as this venue regularly ranks as one of the hardest on tour.

The roughs are grown out extra thick here and the greens are made of pure Poa Annua which is only one of two courses to use that style of grass. Driving accuracy will be key here and even so, expect a lot of three-putting.

Torrey Pines is played at yearly in January as the Farmers Insurance Open.

Bryson DeChambeau (+1700) is the defending champion. He cruised to a six-stroke win last year. He only has one top-ten result since finishing third at the Players in early March.

Brooks Koepka (+1700) had a historic run at the US Open end in 2020 which he was forced to miss due to injury. Prior to that he won in both 2017 and 2018 and finished second in 2019. He also has a tie for fourth among his seven career appearances here.

He missed the cut at last week’s Palmetto Championship, but was the runner up to surprise winner Phil Mickelson at the PGA Championship.

Jon Rahm (+1000) is the favorite for good reason. He’s still looking for his first major win, but he had a huge lead after three rounds at the Memorial before his positive, but asymptomatic Covid result. He won his first ever tournament here and has only finished out of the top-ten once in five career turns at this course.

Dustin Johnson (+1700) had a solid T10 result at last week’s Palmetto after struggling through most of the spring. He remains the top ranked golfer in the world- by a fairly large margin.

Rory McIlroy (+2000) has only played here three times, but he’s been terrific with a T16, T5 and T3. He also won one of the toughest tournaments on tour in May when he took the Wells Fargo Championship and Quail Hollow.

Patrick Reed (+2500) is drawing terrific odds considering he won here in January and has finished 13th or better each of the last three times on this course. He also finished T5 in his last tune-up event at the Memorial.

Webb Simpson (+4500) hasn’t played here in ten years, but his game is tailored perfectly to this kind of course as someone who consistently avoids bogeys and is one of the world’s best putters.

Marc Leishman (+6000) might be the best value on the whole board. He won the Farmers in 2020 with a massive round of 65 on the final day. He’s also got a couple of T2s in previous tournaments here in 2010 and 2014. He’s fairly comfortable on this monster course.

Ryan Palmer (+15000) is a terrific long shot pick. He’s finished T2 here twice in the last four years, including this January. He’s also got the seventh best career scoring record at the Farmers among active golfers.

Read on to see our pick to win the 2021 U.S. Open

Tournament: U.S. Open
Date: June 17-20, 2021
Location: San Diego, California
Course: Torrey Pines Municipal Golf Course, South Course
Par/Yardage: 71 / 7,652
Purse: $12.500 million (Winner: $2.25 million)
Field: 156 Players
Last Year Winner: Bryson DeChambeau
Last Week Winner: Garrick Higgo
Last Week Runnerup: 6 Players
FedEx Cup Points Leaders: Patrick Cantlay
Television: Thursday, 12:30-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel); 7-10 p.m. ET (NBC)
Friday, 12:30-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel); 6-9 p.m. ET (NBC)
Saturday, 11 a.m.-9 p.m. ET (NBC)
Sunday, 10 a.m.-12 p.m. ET (Golf Channel); 12-8 p.m. ET (NBC)

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Here are the Odds for the Top Field:

U.S. Open
Jon Rahm   +1000
Dustin Johnson   +1700
Brooks Koepka   +1700
Bryson DeChambeau   +1700
Xander Schauffele   +1800
Jordan Spieth   +2000
Rory McIlroy   +2000
Collin Morikawa   +2200
Justin Thomas   +2200
Patrick Cantlay   +2500
Viktor Hovland   +2500
Patrick Reed   +2500
Tony Finau   +2500
Hideki Matsuyama   +4000
Will Zalatoris   +4000
Phil Mickelson   +4000
Scottie Scheffler   +4500
Tyrrell Hatton   +4500
Webb Simpson   +4500
Daniel Berger   +5000
Louis Oosthuizen   +5000
Shane Lowry   +5000
Cameron Smith   +5000
Justin Rose   +5500
Matthew Fitzpatrick   +6000
Paul Casey   +6600
Joaquin Niemann   +6600
Abraham Ancer   +6600
Garrick Higgo   +6600
Marc Leishman   +6000
Jason Kokrak   +6600
Tommy Fleetwood   +7000
Corey Conners   +7000
Gary Woodland   +8000
Max Homa   +8000
Sam Burns   +9000
Sungjae Im   +10000
Charley Hoffman   +10000
Adam Scott   +10000
Harris English   +10000

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

The Prediction: (Jon Rahm +1000)
Nothing sexy about picking the favorite, but he’s going to have a huge chip on his shoulder after what happened in his last tournament, as if it wasn’t big enough already, as he hunts for his first major.

Value Pick: (Marc Leishman +6000)
Experience helps the Aussie to yet another win on one of golf’s most challenging courses.

Long Shot to Win: (Ryan Palmer +15,000)
Finally climbs to the top of the leaderboard after a series of close calls.

Propping up:

  1. Take Collin Morikawa +375 for Top-5
  2. Take Will Zalatoris +290 for Top-10
  3. Take Marc Leishman +225 for Top-20
  4. World's Top Players Tournament Match Up Take Patrick Cantlay +100 over B. DeChambeau
  5. World's Top Players Tournament Match Up Take Collin Morikawa +105 over D. Johnson
  6. Jordan Spieth / Collin Morikawa / Justin Thomas All Make the Cut +140
  7. Lowest Round 66 & Over +150
  8. 1st Round Score Take Jon Rahm Under 71.5 -120
  9. Long Shot Bets - Top American Player Justin Thomas +1400
  10. Long Shot Bets - Jon Rahm / Collin Morikawa / Justin Thomas +1400 All Top 10 Finish

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bryson dechambeau - garrick higgo - patrick cantlay - torrey pines

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