NFL

Cowboys vs Buccaneers NFL Wildcard Picks by John Ai

by
LVSB
January 16, 2023

Advancing to the NFC divisional playoffs next weekend would require the Dallas Cowboys to do something they haven’t done before – defeat Tom Brady. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback is 7-0 against Dallas and already bested them earlier this season.

The Cowboys will travel to Tampa Bay for what promises to be an exciting matchup on Monday Night Football. Thanks to their division title win in the NFC South, the Buccaneers are at home in the first round of playoffs, while the Cowboys were second in their division behind the Philadelphia Eagles

Last time these two teams met was at the beginning of the season where the Bucs beat the Cowboys 19 to 3. Bucs also get back start center Ryan Jenson which is a huge plus for Tom Brady and the Bucs offensive line. He might be able to get some more time in the pocket with Jenson’s return as this has been the problem for the team off fence all season. Despite the betting trends being in favor of the Cowboys, we still think that Tom Brady and the Bucs can win this game at home. That said, I’m rolling with the Bucs to cover the spread at plus 2 and a half for today’s free pick.

Dallas at Tampa Bay

When: 8:15 PM ET, Monday, January 16, 2023
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Where to watch: ABC, ESPN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Moneyline
Dallas Cowboys -140
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +120

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Point Spread
Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (-115)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.5 (-105)

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Total
Over 45.5 (-110)
Under 45.5 (-110)

Team Record & Betting Stats

Name	Record	ATS	Offense	Defense
Dallas	12-5	10-7	27.47	20.12
Tampa Bay	8-9	4-12-1	18.41	21.06

Name	ATS Home	ATS Away	OU Record
Dallas	6-3	4-4	9-8
Tampa Bay	2-6-1	2-6	6-11

Dallas Cowboys Last 5 Games

Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result
WAS	6-26	L	-7.5/41	L/U
TEN	27-13	W	-13.5/40.5	W/U
PHI	40-34	W	-4/48	W/O
JAC	34-40	L	-4/48	L/O
HOU	27-23	W	-17/44.5	L/O

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last 5 Games

Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result
ATL	17-30	L	6/40.5	L/O
CAR	30-24	W	-3.5/40.5	W/O
ARI	19-16	W	-7.5/41.5	L/U
CIN	23-34	L	3.5/47.5	L/O
SF	7-35	L	3.5/38.5	L/O

Betting Odds Trends

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last 7 games
Dallas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’s last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

“2025 Super Bowl LIX Odds“

Dallas Injuries

Player	Status/Updated
Demarcus Lawrence	Prob Mon – Foot – 1/14/23
Tyron Smith	Prob Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Tyler Biadasz	Prob Mon – Ankle – 1/12/23
Leighton Vander Esch	Prob Mon – Shoulder – 1/12/23
Trayvon Mullen	Out Mon – Illness – 1/14/23
Terence Steele	I-R – Knee – 12/14/22
Johnathan Hankins	Out indefinitely – Shoulder – 12/14/22
Anthony Brown	I-R – Achilles – 1/9/23
Matt Farniok	Ques Mon – Hamstring – 1/10/23
Jourdan Lewis	I-R – Foot – 10/26/22
Matt Waletzko	I-R – Shoulder – 10/22/22
Devin Harper	Out indefinitely – Achilles – 10/29/22
Simi Fehoko	Out indefinitely – Shoulder – 10/15/22
Rico Dowdle	Out indefinitely – Ankle – 10/15/22
Devante Bond	I-R – Knee – 7/8/22

Tampa Bay Injuries

Player	Status/Updated
John Molchon	Prob Mon – Ankle – 1/13/23
Mike Evans	Prob Mon – Illness – 1/12/23
Donovan Smith	Prob Mon – Foot – 1/12/23
Julio Jones	Prob Mon – Knee – 1/12/23
Logan Ryan	Prob Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Mike Edwards	Prob Mon – Hamstring – 1/12/23
Carlton Davis III	Prob Mon – Shoulder – 1/12/23
Carl Nassib	Prob Mon – Pectoral – 1/12/23
Russell Gage	Ques Mon – Back – 1/10/23
Robert Hainsey	Ques Mon – Hamstring – 1/10/23
Vita Vea	Ques Mon – Calf – 1/10/23
Kyle Rudolph	Doub Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Nick Leverett	Doub Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Anthony Chesley	I-R – Hamstring – 1/11/23
Josh Wells	I-R – Knee – 1/1/23
Genard Avery	Out indefinitely – Abdominal – 12/23/22
Shaquil Barrett	I-R – Achilles – 11/1/22
Aaron Stinnie	I-R – Knee – 8/22/22
Cam Gill	I-R – Foot – 8/22/22
Ryan Jensen	Ques Mon – Knee – 1/10/23