When it comes to NFL betting, one of the most intriguing aspects is predicting the league leaders in statistical categories. From passing yards to rushing touchdowns, these stats can have a significant impact on the outcome of games. In this article, we will provide our predictions for the best bets and players to stay away from in each category.
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Passing Yards Best Bet: Justin Herbert (+650)
Justin Herbert had an impressive season in 2022, and we expect him to continue his success in 2023. With a talented group of receivers and improved offensive line, Herbert has the potential to put up big numbers this year.
Passing Yards Stay Away From: Aaron Rodgers (+2000)
Despite being a talented quarterback, Aaron Rodgers faces several challenges this season that could impact his performance. A new offensive system and his age could contribute to a decline in his passing yards. It’s best to avoid betting on him for this category.
Passing Touchdowns Best Bet: Joe Burrow (+450)
Joe Burrow has shown great potential and has a talented supporting cast in Cincinnati. With a high-flying offense, Burrow has a good chance to lead the league in passing touchdowns this season.
Passing Touchdowns Stay Away From: Josh Allen (+500)
Josh Allen’s inconsistent performance towards the end of last season and his tendency to run for touchdowns could hinder his chances of leading the league in passing touchdowns. We recommend fading him in this category.
Rushing Yards Best Bet: Saquon Barkley (+1500)
Saquon Barkley has the motivation to prove himself after a challenging season. With a strong offensive line and new pass-catching options, Barkley has the potential to lead the league in rushing yards if he can stay healthy.
Rushing Yards Stay Away From: Jonathan Taylor (+800)
Despite being a talented running back, Jonathan Taylor’s reported lack of motivation is a concerning factor. It’s best to stay away from betting on him to lead the league in rushing yards.
Rushing Touchdowns Best Bet: Derrick Henry (+550)
Derrick Henry has consistently been a top performer in the rushing touchdowns category. With the Titans utilizing a run-first offense, Henry has a good chance of leading the league in rushing touchdowns once again.
Rushing Touchdowns Stay Away From: Josh Jacobs (+1300)
Josh Jacobs’ contract dispute and potential changes in the Raiders’ offense make him a risky bet to lead the league in rushing touchdowns. It’s best to avoid betting on him for this category.
Receiving Yards Best Bet: Justin Jefferson (+550)
Justin Jefferson has been a standout receiver in his first three seasons, consistently putting up impressive numbers. With a key role in the Vikings’ offense, Jefferson has a good chance of leading the league in receiving yards once again.
Receiving Yards Stay Away From: Cooper Kupp (+800)
Cooper Kupp faces uncertainties with injuries and the overall performance of the Rams’ offense. With potential challenges ahead, it’s best to stay away from betting on him to lead the league in receiving yards.
Receiving Touchdowns Best Bet: Travis Kelce (+500)
Travis Kelce has been a dominant force in the NFL and remains a top target for the Chiefs. With his redzone presence, Kelce has a good chance of leading the league in receiving touchdowns in the upcoming season.
Receiving Touchdowns Stay Away From: Davante Adams (+1400)
Davante Adams may see a decline in his touchdown numbers due to changes in the Packers’ offense and the quarterback situation. It’s best to fade him when it comes to leading the league in receiving touchdowns.
