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Alabama (14-6) vs Florida (15-6)
- When: Feb 1 2026, 1:00 PM
- Where: Exactech Arena, Gainesville, FL, USA
- Where to watch: ABC
(23) Alabama vs (19) Florida Preview & Prediction
Spread: Florida -8.0
Moneyline: Florida (-350)
Total: 176.0
Florida Gators Betting Breakdown
Florida does not lack motivation for this one. The defending national champions are rolling again after a brief stumble, and the temperature around this rivalry has only gone up. The Gators are 15-6 overall, 6-2 in conference play, and tied near the top of the SEC after winning 10 of their last 12 games.
The response to their home loss against Auburn was emphatic. Florida demolished South Carolina 95-48 on the road, setting a program record for largest road win. That blowout reminded everyone how overwhelming Florida can be when its pace, defense, and interior presence are locked in.
Offensively, Thomas Haugh sets the tone, leading the team at 17.5 points per game. Alex Condon adds balance with 13.2 points and 8.2 rebounds, while also leading the team with 29 blocked shots. Rueben Chinyelu continues to dominate the glass, averaging 11.0 rebounds with 12.0 points and 22 blocks. Florida’s size and rim protection make it extremely difficult for opponents to score efficiently inside.
Florida has also owned this matchup recently, winning four straight against Alabama by an average of nearly 15 points. At home, with momentum restored, the Gators are positioned to control the game physically and emotionally.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Breakdown
Alabama arrives with confidence but also controversy swirling. The Crimson Tide are 14-6 overall and 4-3 in SEC play, sitting midpack despite winning three of their last four games. The return of Charles Bediako has given Alabama a much needed interior option, and he has delivered early, scoring 13.5 points per game on extremely efficient shooting over his first two appearances.
Labaron Philon Jr. remains the engine of the offense and leads the SEC with 22.0 points per game. He was steady again with 18 points in a lopsided win over Missouri. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. added a career best seven three pointers in that game, finishing with 21 points, while Aiden Sherrell chipped in 16.
Defense and rebounding remain concerns, especially against elite frontcourts. Alabama can score, but sustaining stops for long stretches has been inconsistent. On the road, that margin for error gets thinner.
Betting Outlook and Prediction
Alabama brings offense and urgency, but Florida brings depth, size, and a proven ability to separate late. The Gators should dictate tempo, own the paint, and gradually stretch the margin in the second half.
Final Score: Florida 88, Alabama 76
Lean: Florida -8.0
Total: Under 176.0
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
