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Arizona State (16-15) vs Iowa State (25-6)
- When: Mar 11 2026, 12:30 PM
- Where: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Arizona State vs (7) Iowa State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Iowa State -11.5
Moneyline: Iowa State (-750)
Total: 147.5
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Breakdown
Iowa State enters the Big 12 tournament with strong momentum and a résumé that already has the NCAA Tournament committee paying attention. The Cyclones finished the regular season with a 25 and 6 record and currently sit seventh in the Associated Press Top 25. Their balanced scoring and elite defense have been key factors throughout the season.
These teams just met in the regular season finale where Iowa State delivered an 86 to 65 victory. The Cyclones trailed by four points at halftime before completely taking control in the second half. During one stretch they scored 24 straight points while Arizona State went more than ten minutes without a field goal and missed 12 consecutive shots.
Iowa State’s offense does not rely on one star which makes them difficult to defend. Milan Momcilovic leads the team with 17.0 points per game while Joshua Jefferson averages 16.6 and Tamin Lipsey contributes 13.3 per contest. In the win over Arizona State on Saturday, Lipsey, Momcilovic, and Jefferson each scored 16 points while Jamarion Bateman added 13 and Dominykas Pleta chipped in 11.
The Cyclones also proved they can compete against elite competition this season with victories over teams like St. John’s, Purdue, Kansas, and Houston. Coach T.J. Otzelberger believes those performances give his team confidence entering tournament play.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Breakdown
Arizona State arrives in the second round after earning a hard fought 83 to 79 victory over Baylor. The Sun Devils showed resilience in that game despite dealing with early foul trouble for leading scorer Maurice Odum.
Anthony “Pig” Johnson provided a huge boost off the bench with 19 points while several role players stepped up. Andrija Grbovic scored 14 points, Santiago Trouet added 13 points and nine rebounds, Noah Meeusen finished with 12 points, and Massamba Diop contributed 11.
Coach Bobby Hurley praised his team’s depth and preparation after bouncing back from the heavy loss to Iowa State just days earlier. Arizona State handled the quick turnaround well and showed it can still generate offense even when key players are limited.
However, the Sun Devils now face the challenge of slowing down a Cyclones team that overwhelmed them in the previous meeting.
Prediction and Best Bet
Iowa State is listed as an 11.5 point favorite with the total sitting at 147.5. The Cyclones have already demonstrated their defensive advantage in this matchup and their balanced scoring attack makes them difficult to contain.
Arizona State has enough offensive contributors to remain competitive early, but Iowa State’s defense and depth should gradually create separation.
Final Score: Iowa State 83, Arizona State 69
Lean: Iowa State -11.5
Total: Over 147.5
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
