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Atlanta Falcons 2022-23 NFL Preview, Season Odds, Props Picks & Predictions

Rebuild Still Under Way as Atlanta Falcons Destined to Be Last in NFC South

(Photo by Amy Lemus/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Marcus Mariota

For the first time since 2008, the Atlanta Falcons will see a different signal-caller under center and that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. There was no great reason to keep 36-year-old Matt Ryan to be a with sub-500 team, which was exactly what the Falcons were with Ryan the past four seasons. Despite being one of the least talented teams in the NFL last season, the Falcons still managed to win 7 games and were in the playoff mix into late December, so is there hope for 2022? Without Ryan, the Falcons will be bad and there’s not much to feel hopeful about for Atlanta this upcoming season. While the team insists it isn’t on rebuilding mode, it sure feels like it. To replace Ryan eventually, the Falcons used a third-round pick on Desmond Ridder, who was seen as a mediocre backup by some of the NFL scouts.

For now, Marcus Mariota will start in the meantime. The Oregon product has some potential as a former No. 2 overall pick but hasn’t clearly lived up to the hype. For the past three years, he has been learning from the sidelines so perhaps a fresh start in a new city will rejuvenate his motivation to be better. The problem is that he will find that he doesn’t really have many proven talents at his disposal. Tight end Kyle Pitts is the best receiver he has and then you have Drake London, who has yet to catch a pass in the NFL. Indeed, there is Pitts, London, who was drafted 8th overall in 2022 and not much else. Besides the duo, Mariota will have a slew of pedestrian receivers including no-names like Bryan Edwards, Auden Tate and Damiere Byrd. They lost WR Russell Gage, who caught 94 passes for 770 yards, to division rival Tampa Bay.

It doesn’t get any better for Mariota as far as his running game is concerned and protection. Cordarrelle Patterson is a dynamic runner but is not a running back equipped to handle a complete workload. Pass protection has been a huge issue for the Falcons in recent years and you can expect more of the same this season as the unit has seen little improvement in the offseason. It doesn’t get any better on the defensive side of the ball. Aside from DE Grady Jarrett, the defensive line is devoid of talent especially with the departure of Dante Fowler Jr., who fled to Dallas. The team hasn’t invested heavily in the front four this offseason, adding only journeyman Vincent Taylor. The two bright spots are the linebacker corps and secondary but they will be overworked if the front seven cannot get to the opposing quarterbacks.

The Falcons will be underdogs in all of their games this season except maybe against the Bears and the Seahawks. With the lack of talents they possess, it’s unwise to think that they could upset any other opponents they are slated to face.

Atlanta Falcons Offseason Moves:
Notable Additions: QB Marcus Mariota, WR Auden Tate, WR Damiere Byrd, WR KhaDarel Hodge, TE Anthony Firkser, OT Elijah Wilkinson, LB Rashaan Evans, CB Casey Hayward
Notable Departures: QB Matt Ryan, RB Mike Davis, WR Russell Gage, TE Hayden Hurst, DE Dante Fowler, CB Isaiah Oliver, CB Fabian Moreau
1st and 2nd Draft Picks: WR Drake London (8), DE Arnold Ebikete (38), LB Troy Andersen (58)

2022-23 Atlanta Falcons NFL Futures Odds

The Bottom Line:
This is a rebuilding season for the Falcons so it means this year will be painful. The only thing the Falcons might win is the first pick of the draft next year. Don’t be surprised to see Desmond Ridder start a few games just so to see if he pans out as the quarterback of the future.
Last year’s record: 7-10
My Prediction: 2-15

2022-23 Atlanta Falcons Stage of Elimination

  • To Miss the Playoffs   -1400
  • To Lose in Wildcard Round   +600
  • To Lose in Divisional Round   +1400
  • To Lose in Conference Championship Game   +5000
  • To Lose in Super Bowl   +10000
  • To Win Super Bowl   +20000

Odds According to Bovada as of September, 2022

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2022-23 Atlanta Falcons Season Team Specials

ATL Falcons to score over 340.5 Reg Season Points    EVEN
Cordarelle Patterson & Kyle Pitts over 11.5 combined Reg Season TDs Scored    EVEN
Drake London & Kyle Pitts Combined Over 1600.5 Reg Season Receiving Yards    EVEN
Cordarelle Patterson Over 950.5 Reg Season Combined Rush & Rec Yards and Over 7.5 TDs Scored    +225
Marcus Mariota Over 3500.5 Reg Season Passing Yards & Over 300.5 Reg Season Rushing Yards    +250
Marcus Mariota Over 20.5 Reg Season Passing TDs & Drake London Over 700.5 Reg Season Receiving Yards    +275
ATL Falcons to make the playoffs and Kyle Pitts over 1000.5 Reg Season Receiving Yards    +1200
ATL Falcons over 7.5 Reg Season Wins and Drake London to have most Rookie Receiving Yards in the Reg Season    +2000
ATL Falcons to be a Wildcard Seed and Marcus Mariota over 2.5 Reg Season Rushing TDs    +3500
ATL Falcons to reach NFC Championship Game    +3500

Aengus NFL Season Special Prediction on Falcons:

  • Pitts will go over 1,000 yards receiving
  • Mariota will not go over 3,000 yards passing
  • Patterson will go over 1,000 yards combined receiving/passing
  • Atlanta will have fewest sacks in the NFL in 2022
  • Atlanta will finish last in NFC South
  • Atlanta will get first pick in 2023 draft

Season Props According to Bovada as of September, 2022

Bet on the Atlanta Falcons 2022-23 Season Props at Bovada Sportsbook.

Atlanta Falcons 2022-23 Schedule

PRESEASON
W. Date Time Opponent Game site TV
1 12-Aug   at Detroit Lions Ford Field
2 22-Aug   at New York Jets Metlife Stadium
3 27-Aug   Jacksonville Jaguars Mercedes Benz Stadium
REGULAR SEASON
W. Date Time Opponent Game site TV
1 11-Sep 1:00 p.m. New Orleans Saints Mercedes-Benz Stadium Fox
2 18-Sep 4:05 p.m. at Los Angeles Rams SoFi Stadium Fox
3 25-Sep 4:25 p.m. at Seattle Seahawks Lumen Field Fox
4 2-Oct 1:00 p.m. Cleveland Browns Mercedes-Benz Stadium CBS
5 9-Oct 1:00 p.m. at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Raymond James Stadium Fox
6 16-Oct 1:00 p.m. San Francisco 49ers Mercedes-Benz Stadium Fox
7 23-Oct 1:00 p.m. at Cincinnati Bengals Paycor Stadium Fox
8 30-Oct 1:00 p.m. Carolina Panthers Mercedes-Benz Stadium Fox
9 6-Nov 1:00 p.m. Los Angeles Chargers Mercedes-Benz Stadium Fox
10 10-Nov 8:15 p.m. at Carolina Panthers Bank of America Stadium Prime Video
11 20-Nov 1:00 p.m. Chicago Bears Mercedes-Benz Stadium Fox
12 27-Nov 1:00 p.m. at Washington Commanders FedExField Fox
13 4-Dec 1:00 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers Mercedes-Benz Stadium CBS
14 Bye
15 Dec 17/18 TBD at New Orleans Saints Caesars Superdome TBD
16 24-Dec 1:00 p.m. at Baltimore Ravens M&T Bank Stadium Fox
17 1-Jan 1:00 p.m. Arizona Cardinals Mercedes-Benz Stadium Fox
18 Jan 7/8 TBD Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mercedes-Benz Stadium TBD

All Time EST

Bet on the Atlanta Falcons 2022-23 Season at Bovada Sportsbook.

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