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Atlanta (19-11) at Phoenix (19-11)
- When: Aug 10 2025, 6:00 PM
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Atlanta vs Phoenix – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -4.0 | Total: 165.5
Phoenix Mercury Betting Outlook
The Phoenix Mercury enter Sunday riding a three-game win streak, powered by Alyssa Thomas’ history-making triple-double spree. Thomas, in her first season with Phoenix after 11 years in Connecticut, just became the first player in WNBA history to record three consecutive triple-doubles, her latest a dominant 18/11/10 performance in a 95-60 rout of Indiana.
She’s averaging 15.9 points, 8.7 rebounds, and a league-leading 9.2 assists, proving to be the ultimate all-around force. Even without Brittney Griner, Phoenix has surged into a tie for third place, just one game behind New York for the No. 2 seed. The Mercury will look to keep the tempo high, control the paint, and ride Thomas’ playmaking to another home win.
Player Prop to Watch – Alyssa Thomas (PHX): Over 8.5 assists. With three straight triple-doubles, she’s the league’s most dangerous facilitator right now.
Atlanta Dream Betting Outlook
The Atlanta Dream have quietly become one of the league’s hottest teams, winning four straight and six of their last seven. Allisha Gray has been unstoppable against Phoenix this season, torching them for 28 points in a 90-79 win and 26 in a 95-72 blowout earlier this month. Her scoring efficiency and ability to punish defenses from deep have made her a constant matchup nightmare.
The Dream’s depth is also clicking, Jordin Canada’s recent 17-point, six-assist night and Nia Coffey’s spark off the bench have kept them rolling even without Griner to defend inside. Atlanta already owns the season series 2-0 and has beaten Phoenix by double digits both times.
Player Prop to Watch – Allisha Gray (ATL): Over 17.5 points. She’s averaging 27 against Phoenix this year and remains their biggest scoring threat.
Prediction
This is a matchup of two elite teams peaking at the right time, but the trends are clear, Phoenix’s home-court edge and Thomas’ all-around brilliance make them the safer play. Atlanta’s track record this season against Phoenix is strong, but the Mercury are in revenge mode and have the momentum.
Best Bet: Phoenix -4.0
Toral: Over 165.5
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 87, Atlanta 81
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
