Baltimore (10-5-0) at Houston (9-6-0)
- When: Dec 25 2024, 4:30 PM
- Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
- Where to watch: Netflix
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
Moneyline
Baltimore Ravens -285
Houston Texans +235
Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
Point Spread
Baltimore Ravens -6.0 (-115)
Houston Texans 6.0 (-105)
Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
Total
Over 47.5 (-105)
Under 47.5 (-115)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Key Players:
Baltimore: Lamar Jackson
Houston: C.J. Stroud
Team Stats
| Ravens | Texans | |
| 10-5 | Record | 9-6 |
| 5-3 | Away & Home | 5-2 |
| 8-6-1 | ATS | 6-7-2 |
| 12-3-0 | O/U | 5-9-1 |
Last Matchup:
BAL 34-10, January 20th, 2024
Game Preview
The Houston Texans (9-6) enter Wednesday’s matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (10-5) in survival mode after a string of critical injuries, leaving bettors to question their ability to compete with one of the AFC’s hottest teams. Baltimore, already clinching a playoff berth, aims to secure the AFC North title and improve their postseason seeding.
Texans’ Offense: Can Stroud Overcome the Losses?
Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been sensational this season, but the Texans’ receiving corps has been decimated. With Tank Dell (knee) and Stefon Diggs (ACL) sidelined, Stroud’s primary target is Nico Collins, who has been solid with 60 catches, 909 yards, and six touchdowns. Beyond Collins, options thin out quickly, relying on John Metchie III, Robert Woods, and recently claimed Diontae Johnson. Stroud may lean heavily on tight end Dalton Schultz and running back Joe Mixon in the passing game.
Houston’s offensive line is also banged up, with guard Shaq Mason (knee) questionable and two linemen missing practice. These issues, combined with a short turnaround from Saturday’s game, pose significant challenges for Houston’s ability to keep pace with Baltimore.
Prediction: Houston struggles to move the ball consistently against a strong Ravens defense. Stroud’s talent shines, but it may not be enough to overcome the lack of weapons.
Ravens’ Offense: Balanced and Explosive
The Ravens come in firing on all cylinders. Lamar Jackson, with a franchise-record 37 touchdown passes, has been exceptional. The addition of Derrick Henry has transformed the offense, as the star running back already boasts 1,636 yards and is within striking distance of a 2,000-yard season. This dynamic duo will test a Texans defense already missing key players like safety Jimmie Ward.
Baltimore’s offensive balance will likely exploit Houston’s injuries, and Jackson’s ability to connect with his playmakers, even if Zay Flowers or Nelson Agholor are limited, makes the Ravens a dangerous opponent.
Prediction: Baltimore’s offense controls the tempo, and Henry’s ground game wears down Houston’s defense late.
Key Matchup: Ravens Defense vs. Texans Turnovers
Houston’s turnover problems could prove fatal. They’ve committed 28 turnovers this season, though their defense has managed to generate 28 takeaways to even things out. Against a disciplined Ravens team, however, those mistakes will be costly. Baltimore’s defense is opportunistic and can capitalize on Houston’s patchwork offense.
Betting Angles:
Spread: Ravens -6
Baltimore’s depth, balanced offense, and Houston’s injury struggles make the Ravens strong favorites to cover.
Total: Over 47.5
Despite Houston’s issues, C.J. Stroud’s playmaking ability could push this game over the total. Baltimore’s offense should contribute plenty of points, and a late Texans score might push the over.
Player Prop to Watch: Derrick Henry Over 88.5 Rushing Yards
With Houston’s defense stretched thin, Henry should have a big game and could eclipse this number with ease.
Conclusion:
The Ravens are poised to dominate, with their balanced attack and superior depth proving too much for a depleted Texans team. Bettors can confidently back Baltimore to cover the spread while considering the over for additional value.
NFL Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Baltimore 31-23
Expert Pick: Baltimore -6 (-115) & Over 47½ (-105)
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $365
- NFL Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
