- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Baltimore (8-8-0) at Pittsburgh (9-7-0)
- When: Jan 4 2026, 8:20 PM
- Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- Where to watch: NBC/Peacock
- Last Meeting: PIT 27-22, December 7th, 2025
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh Preview & Prediction
Spread: Baltimore -3.5
Moneyline: Baltimore (-202)
Total: 40.5
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Overview
Pittsburgh arrives in familiar territory, playing meaningful football late in the season with everything on the line. Mike Tomlin’s group has been inconsistent, alternating strong performances with puzzling letdowns, yet they continue to hover in the playoff picture. That unpredictability defines this team.
The Steelers showed resilience with a late season winning streak, including a road victory in Baltimore earlier this month, but they followed it with a sloppy loss that reopened old concerns. Offensively, Aaron Rodgers has been steady rather than dominant, managing games and limiting mistakes while relying on timely throws and veteran awareness.
Defensively, Pittsburgh’s ceiling depends heavily on pressure. When the pass rush disrupts timing, the Steelers can dictate games. If they fail to generate heat, the margin for error shrinks quickly, especially against a physical opponent.
Steelers Player Prop Pick: Aaron Rodgers over 203.5 passing yards – Rodgers has historically delivered volume in high leverage divisional games where game flow forces extended drives.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Overview
Baltimore’s season has been a grind from the start. Injuries and inconsistency buried them early, but the Ravens clawed back into contention with improved execution and a punishing run game. This team knows how to survive chaos, which matters in rivalry games like this.
Lamar Jackson is expected to return, giving Baltimore its most dangerous element back under center. His presence changes defensive responsibilities instantly. Pair that with Derrick Henry’s late season surge, and Baltimore becomes a matchup nightmare when playing from ahead.
Defensively, the Ravens thrive on physicality and forcing opponents into long third downs. At home, that edge is amplified by crowd noise and familiarity with Pittsburgh’s tendencies.
Ravens Player Prop Pick: Derrick Henry over 90.5 rushing yards – Baltimore leans heavily on Henry in division games, especially when protecting leads and controlling tempo.
Betting Outlook & NFL Expert Prediction
This matchup is rarely clean and never easy. Expect a low scoring, physical battle filled with field position swings and momentum shifts. Pittsburgh will fight for all four quarters, but Baltimore’s run game and home field advantage give them the edge in closing moments.
The Ravens are built to grind out games like this and should do just enough to secure the division.
Final Score: Ravens 23, Steelers 17
Lean: Baltimore -3.5
Total: Under 40.5
- NFL Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
