Boston (29-13) at Golden State (21-20)
- When: Jan 20 2025, 5:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: TNT
Game Preview
The Boston Celtics head to San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors in a marquee matchup on Monday afternoon, part of the NBA’s holiday slate. With the Celtics favored by 10.5 points and the total set at 223.5, this game offers intriguing opportunities for bettors looking to capitalize on the spread and total.
Boston Celtics Outlook
The Celtics enter this contest after a narrow 119-115 overtime loss to the Atlanta Hawks, continuing a streak of alternating wins and losses over their last eight games. Despite their recent inconsistency, Boston has yet to lose consecutive games since falling to Philadelphia on Christmas Day.
Boston has a history of bouncing back, and their dominance in second games against Golden State in recent seasons (winning by an average of 25.7 points) is notable. The Celtics are led by Jayson Tatum, who is putting up MVP-caliber numbers with averages of 27.7 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. Tatum’s leadership will be critical as Boston tries to extend its road success.
Coach Joe Mazzulla has emphasized the importance of improving late-game execution, a potential key to covering the double-digit spread.
Golden State Warriors Outlook
The Warriors have been struggling with consistency, going 9-17 since their 12-3 start. However, they bring momentum into this matchup, riding a two-game winning streak capped by a 122-114 victory over the Washington Wizards.
Injuries are a significant factor for Golden State. Stephen Curry (ankle) is questionable, and Draymond Green (calf) has already been ruled out. The Warriors have also been missing key depth players like Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski, leaving a heavier load on Andrew Wiggins.
Wiggins has stepped up recently, averaging 25 points over his last three games, including a season-high 31 points and 11 rebounds against Washington. If Curry sits, Wiggins will need to deliver another standout performance for the Warriors to stay competitive.
Key Betting Trends
Spread:
The Celtics have been solid after a loss, covering the spread in six of their last eight bounce-back games.
Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, and injuries to Curry and Green make their depth questionable.
Total:
Boston’s defense ranks in the top five in defensive efficiency, and their ability to limit scoring could make the under an attractive option.
Golden State’s recent scoring struggles without Curry and their reliance on Wiggins suggest the total might fall short of 223.5.
Head-to-Head:
The Warriors won the first meeting this season, 118-112, behind 27 points from Curry. However, Tatum led all scorers with 32 points in that game.
The teams have split their season series in each of the past three years, but Boston has often dominated the second meeting.
Predictions
Spread Pick: Boston -10.5
The Celtics are in prime position to take advantage of a depleted Warriors roster. With Golden State’s defense likely weakened without Green, Tatum and the Celtics’ offense should dominate. Boston’s ability to execute down the stretch and their recent bounce-back performances make them a strong bet to cover the spread.
Total Pick: Under 223.5
Without Curry, the Warriors’ offense may struggle to keep pace. Combine that with Boston’s defensive efficiency, and this game could easily stay under the total. Look for a slower-paced contest with Boston controlling the tempo.
Player Prop to Watch:
Jayson Tatum Over 28.5 Points
Tatum has been the Celtics’ offensive engine, and with the Warriors’ defense missing key pieces, he’s likely to have another big night.
Final Score Prediction
Expect Boston to take control early and maintain their lead against a short-handed Warriors squad, securing both the win and the cover.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
