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Bowling Green (16-11) vs Miami-Ohio (26-0)
- When: Feb 20 2026, 8:30 PM
- Where: Millett Hall, Oxford, OH, USA
- Where to watch: CBS Sports Network
Bowling Green vs (22) Miami-Ohio Preview & Prediction
Spread: Miami-Ohio -8.0
Moneyline: Miami-Ohio (-385)
Total: 153.5
Miami-Ohio enters laying eight points as the nation’s last unbeaten team at 26-0 overall and 13-0 in MAC play. The total of 153 reflects tempo, especially with the RedHawks leading the country in scoring at 92.3 points per game and shooting 53.5 percent from the field.
Miami-Ohio Redhawks Betting Breakdown
The RedHawks have made a habit of surviving tight finishes. Six of their last eight games featured second-half deficits or ties, yet they continue to close. That resilience matters in spread betting.
Peter Suder leads the balanced attack with 14.8 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. He dropped 23 in the recent win over UMass, while Luke Skaljac added 16 and seven assists. Offensively, Miami is elite, but they’ve occasionally left the door open late due to free-throw inconsistencies.
At home, with revenge for letting Bowling Green hang around in the first meeting (93-83), Miami has the edge. Laying eight is justified given their offensive ceiling.
Miami-Ohio Prop Pick: Peter Suder Over 16.5 Points – Suder thrives in high-leverage games and already produced 17 points in the first matchup.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Breakdown
Bowling Green sits at 16-11 and 7-7 in conference play. They nearly erased a 26-point halftime deficit in the first meeting, showing they can push pace.
Javontae Campbell posted 22 points and four assists in a recent outing and remains a key creator. Sam Towns averages 12.1 points and 6.6 rebounds, and he poured in 24 against Miami earlier this season.
The issue is volatility from three-point range. The Falcons have alternated between scorching and ice cold performances, which makes them a risky underdog.
Bowling Green Prop Pick: Javontae Campbell Over 20.5 Points – Campbell’s scoring volume spikes in competitive games, and Miami’s pace creates extra possessions.
Expert Final Score Prediction
I’m projecting Miami to cover the -8.0 because of pace, efficiency, and late-game composure. The RedHawks are averaging 92.3 points per game and shooting 53.5 percent from the field, which is elite production at this level. Even when they’ve trailed in the second half, they’ve responded with shot quality and execution instead of panic. That matters when you’re backing a favorite.
Bowling Green can score in spurts, but their three-point inconsistency is a major swing factor. Against an offense this polished, you can’t afford extended cold stretches. If the Falcons go through one of those 2-for-20 type nights from deep, the game separates quickly.
The total at 153 leans Over for me because Miami’s tempo creates extra possessions, and Bowling Green has already shown it can score in this matchup. But the stronger angle is Miami’s control late. Their ability to execute in crunch time turns close games into covers.
Final Score: Miami-Ohio 86, Bowling Green 74
Lean: Miami-Ohio -8.0
Total: Over 153.0
- NCAAB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
