Chi. Cubs (41-26) at Philadelphia (38-29)
- When: Jun 11 2025, 1:05 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: MLB Network
Cubs vs. Phillies – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Philadelphia -120 | Total: 8.5
Chicago Cubs Outlook
Chicago sends 25‑year‑old right‑hander Ben Brown (3‑4, 5.37 ERA) to the hill, and his recent trend is encouraging: just two earned runs allowed over his last 13 innings, including seven strong frames in Detroit. Manager Craig Counsell praised the uptick in velocity and command, noting Brown can “go toe‑to‑toe with anybody” when his fastball is crisp. Still, the youngster was tagged for six runs in 3 2/3 innings against the Phillies on April 26, his lone career appearance versus his original organization.
Offensively, Chicago’s lineup erupted for four homers in Tuesday’s 8‑4 win, highlighted by Ian Happ’s second straight multi‑HR game. A bullpen that covered 4 2⁄3 scoreless innings gives the relief corps fresh arms for the finale.
Philadelphia Phillies Outlook
MyBookie Oddsmakers have Philadelphia a slight -120 favorite despite a 2‑10 slide. Left‑hander Jesús Luzardo (5‑2, 4.46 ERA) looks to stop the bleeding after back‑to‑back disasters (20 earned runs in 5 2⁄3 innings). Prior to that tailspin, Luzardo sported a sub‑2.50 ERA and has historically baffled the Cubs, posting a 3‑0 record with a 2.43 ERA in six career starts.
The Phillies’ offense remains in a lull: Bryce Harper is out, and Kyle Schwarber is mired in a 4‑for‑35 funk with 17 strikeouts this month. Manager Rob Thomson insists the power will return, but until it does, Philadelphia must scratch for runs.
Betting Angle & Prediction
Brown’s recent form gives Chicago a puncher’s chance, yet Luzardo’s previous dominance over the Cubs and Philly’s desperation to halt a freefall tilt things towards the home side. Expect a tighter, low‑scoring affair than Tuesday’s slugfest.
Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Cubs 3
Pick: Philadelphia ML (-120)
Total: Under 8.5 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
