Cincinnati (46-42) at Philadelphia (51-37)
- When: Jul 5 2025, 4:05 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: FDSOH
Reds vs. Phillies – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Philadelphia -171
Total: 8.5
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5 (+110)
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Reds are scrappy, no doubt about it. After erasing a 3-0 deficit with a four-inning scoring barrage in Friday’s 9-6 win, they’re proving they’re more than just a rebuilding team. Spencer Steer’s all-around performance (two hits, two RBIs, two walks, two runs) sparked the offense, and Nick Lodolo is aiming to keep the good times rolling on the mound.
Lodolo (5-5, 3.52 ERA) has quietly dominated the Phillies in five career starts, posting a 2.76 ERA and holding hitters in check. His last outing wasn’t his sharpest control-wise, but he still limited the Padres to just one run and battled through traffic.
The Reds bullpen, anchored by Emilio Pagan (19 saves), has been reliable in tight games. Pagan is on a heater with 11 scoreless outings in his last 12 appearances.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
Friday was a missed opportunity for Philly. They piled up 14 hits but couldn’t cash in when it mattered most, including a bases-loaded strikeout in the eighth. Despite the setback, there’s no panic. Ranger Suarez is the perfect arm to get them back on track.
Suarez (7-2, 2.00 ERA) has been lights-out. He’s only allowed six earned runs in his last eight starts and tossed seven strong innings in a win over the Braves last Sunday. Against Cincinnati, he owns a career 2-0 record with a 2.17 ERA across eight appearances.
Prediction & Betting Picks
Backing Suarez at home is a strong play. With Philly’s lineup producing consistently and Suarez in ace form, this is a bounce-back spot. Back the Phillies on the runline, but the under (8.5) could hold value with two capable lefties on the mound.
Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Reds 3
Pick: Philadelphia 1.5 (+110)
Total: Under 8.5 (-115)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
