Connecticut (2-12) at Las Vegas (6-7)
- When: Jun 25 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
- TV: NBA TV
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces
Spread: Las Vegas -18.5 | Total: 159.5
Las Vegas Aces Breakdown
After a rocky stretch and a three-game skid, the Las Vegas Aces finally looked like themselves again in Sunday’s 89-81 win over the Indiana Fever. A’ja Wilson, fresh off concussion protocol, is fully re-engaged and dominating once again. She dropped 24 points with seven boards in that bounce-back win, and more importantly, Vegas found its defensive edge, forcing 18 turnovers and choking the Fever’s perimeter game.
The departure of Kelsey Plum shook up the roster’s identity, and the Aces have clearly needed time to recalibrate. But head coach Becky Hammon liked what she saw down the stretch: toughness, cohesion, and defense-first intensity.
This is a dangerous spot for any team walking into Michelob ULTRA Arena, especially one struggling like Connecticut. The Aces are rounding into form, and it’s not just Wilson. The team chemistry clicked in the second half, and they’ll look to keep it rolling with playoff positioning on their minds.
Connecticut Sun Breakdown
It’s been a brutal stretch for the Sun, who enter this one on a six-game tailspin. After showing signs of life earlier this month, things have spiraled and Sunday’s 87-63 loss at Golden State was perhaps the low point. Connecticut shot just 30% from the floor, got pounded on the glass, and was outscored 36-12 in a second-quarter collapse that basically ended the game.
Aneesah Morrow and Jacy Sheldon are doing what they can, but this is a team stuck in survival mode, heading into a gauntlet stretch that doesn’t just include Vegas, but also matchups against Seattle and Minnesota. Ouch.
Tina Charles remains a steady force, leading the team in scoring, but there’s just not enough firepower or rhythm to hang with contenders, especially not the Aces on their home floor.
Final Score Prediction:
Las Vegas smells blood. Expect another step forward and a dominant effort on both ends. Covering the large spread isn’t out of the question here. Connecticut is likely staring down another rough outing. Covering the massive spread will require either a massive Aces letdown or an out-of-nowhere Sun resurgence. Don’t bet on it.
Score Prediction: Las Vegas 89, Connecticut 64
Best Bet: Las Vegas -18.5
Total: Under 159.5
Vegas looks locked in again. Connecticut? Not so much. This could get ugly fast and stay that way. Back the Aces with confidence.
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
