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Lakers vs Mavs Odds, Spread and Free Expert Prediction

Lakers aim to cover at home against struggling Mavericks squad.

(Photo by Getty Images) LeBron James
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Dallas (19-34) at LA Lakers (32-21)

  • When: Feb 12 2026, 10:00 PM
  • Where: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA, USA
  • TV: SportsNet LA

Dallas vs LA Lakers Preview & Prediction

Spread: LA Lakers -7.0
Moneyline: LA Lakers (-285)
Total: 235.5

Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview

The Lakers were embarrassed defensively in their last outing, giving up 136 points and the most first half points in franchise history. That game came with almost every major contributor sidelined. Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton and Marcus Smart were all unavailable. When your starting lineup looks like a preseason scrimmage, things can spiral quickly.

The bigger question for bettors is availability. If even two of those primary scorers return, this offense instantly looks different. Before the recent slide, Los Angeles was 6-2 in an eight game stretch and already beat Dallas comfortably during that run. The Lakers have taken the last four head to head meetings and clearly match up well offensively.

At home, with rest and motivation heading into the All Star break, expect a sharper effort on both ends. The number reflects the assumption that at least part of the core will suit up.

Lakers Player Prop Pick LeBron James Over 23.5 Points
With Luka sidelined, the offensive burden shifts directly onto LeBron. In these spots, his usage rate climbs and he controls tempo from start to finish.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

Dallas is spiraling. Eight straight losses and defensive breakdowns are piling up. They have been giving up second chance points, struggling from three, and allowing opponents to dictate tempo. The absence of rookie star Cooper Flagg removes one of their most reliable downhill attackers.

In their latest loss, they allowed over 100 shot attempts and were crushed on the offensive glass. Even when they get to the free throw line, perimeter shooting has betrayed them. When you are hitting under 23 percent from three and giving up open looks on the other end, covering spreads becomes difficult.

The Mavericks need early momentum to stay inside this number. If they fall behind, the Lakers can stretch the margin quickly in transition.

Mavericks Player Prop Pick P.J. Washington Under 15.5 Points
With Dallas missing key offensive creators, defenses can key in on Washington as a secondary option. The Lakers have length on the perimeter and size inside to force tougher looks, especially in half court sets.

NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

The total of 235.5 signals a projected track meet, but that number feels inflated. With Dallas missing key scoring punch and both teams potentially shortening rotations before the break, this sets up more controlled than chaotic.

Los Angeles still owns the offensive edge and better recent head to head success. Dallas can hang around for stretches, but half court possessions and late game clock bleed favor a lower scoring finish.

Dallas may compete early, but depth and shot creation favor Los Angeles to cover.

Final Score: Lakers 121, Mavericks 110
Lean:  LA Lakers -7.0
Total: 
Under 235.5 

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