Dallas (39-42) at Memphis (47-34)
- When: Apr 13 2025, 3:30 PM
- Where: FedExForum, Memphis, TN, USA
- TV: KFAA
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: NBA Betting Preview Expert Predictions
Line: Memphis -2.0 | Total: 229.0
The Memphis Grizzlies enter their regular-season finale as slight 2-point favorites with a total set at 229, but expectations are a far cry from what they envisioned just a couple of months ago.
Memphis Grizzlies Outlook & Prediction
What once looked like a promising postseason run has turned into a scramble for positioning. Memphis, sitting at 47-34, has dropped six of its last nine games and tumbled down the Western Conference standings, now fighting just to secure the No. 7 seed in the play-in tournament. To do that, they must not only beat Dallas but also hope Utah can upset Minnesota — a long shot, given the Jazz’s abysmal form (1-9 in their last 10 games).
The Grizzlies have recently let key games slip away with back-to-back late collapses. Against Minnesota, they blew a six-point lead with a 26-2 fourth-quarter meltdown. The very next night in Denver, a 108-103 lead vanished after being outscored 14-1 down the stretch.
Ja Morant and Desmond Bane combined for 45 points in that loss to Denver, but scoring dried up when it mattered most. Memphis has struggled in clutch moments, and injuries to key players like Jaylen Wells and Brandon Clarke have only made things worse.
The Grizzlies still have enough offensive firepower to cover the short spread, but fatigue and lack of depth make them a risky bet in a must-win scenario. Their recent performances suggest they’re not finishing games with the same poise or discipline we saw earlier in the season.
Dallas Mavericks Outlook & Prediction
Dallas, at 39-42, is also play-in bound but comes into this one with some momentum. The Mavs steamrolled Toronto 124-102 on Friday, and Anthony Davis finally looked like himself, putting up 23 points, 13 rebounds, 10 assists, and seven blocks — his most complete game since joining the team via trade.
Injuries had slowed Davis down, but he’s back in rhythm, and with back-to-back double-doubles, he’s reminding fans and bettors why he’s still elite. With Davis healthy and Luka Doncic facilitating, Dallas could be peaking at just the right time.
Jason Kidd’s squad may be underdogs on the betting line, but they’ve shown more offensive stability and defensive resilience lately than Memphis. Considering how the Grizzlies have folded in late-game scenarios, Dallas has value on the moneyline.
Final Prediction & Betting Angle
Memphis is laying 2 points, but recent performances suggest they’re hard to trust, especially late in games. Dallas is the better pick here as a road dog with more momentum and a healthier core.
Score Prediction: Mavericks 115, Grizzlies 110
Best Bets:
Prediction: Dallas (+105)
Total Pick: Under 229 – Both teams have shown inconsistency scoring late, and playoff-type intensity could slow the pace.
Player Prop Lean: Anthony Davis OVER 21.5 points – He’s heating up at the right time.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
