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Dallas (19-35) at Minnesota (34-22)
- When: Feb 20 2026, 7:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ESPN
Dallas vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: Minnesota -14.0
Moneyline: Minnesota (-750)
Total: 239.0
The Timberwolves return from the All-Star break with Anthony Edwards bringing hardware and possibly a slight ego glow back to Minneapolis. Minnesota is laying a massive 14 points, and judging by Dallas’ current form, the oddsmakers are not being subtle.
One team is chasing playoff seeding. The other is chasing the calendar.
Minnesota Timberwolves: Trophy Tour Continues
Anthony Edwards is fresh off an All-Star MVP performance and made sure Minnesota heard about it. He’s averaging elite numbers and playing with swagger that screams “give me more trophies.” The Timberwolves won two straight before the break and sit right in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race, just a couple games from climbing even higher.
Minnesota also brought back veteran guard Mike Conley for added depth. He averaged 4.4 points and 2.9 assists earlier this season before being traded and then bought out. His return adds another steady voice to a team that already looks locked in. Coach Chris Finch now has options, and options are a beautiful thing when you’re favored by two touchdowns.
The Wolves have already beaten Dallas twice this season by double digits. At home, with Edwards feeling like the king of the North, this could get loud quickly.
Dallas Mavericks: Rebuilding and Recalculating
Dallas arrives on a nine-game losing streak. That’s not a typo. Impact rookie Cooper Flagg has been a bright spot at 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game, but he is sidelined with a foot sprain. Kyrie Irving is out for the season with a torn ACL.
Translation: the Mavericks are asking a short-handed roster to slow down one of the West’s hottest teams. That’s a tall order in a building that smells blood.
The total is 239, which suggests pace and scoring. Minnesota can absolutely contribute to that number on its own.
Final Predictions
Minnesota has the momentum, depth and health edge. Dallas has effort and optimism for next year. Minnesota covers the -14.0 with room to spare. Lean Under 239, especially with Dallas missing Cooper Flagg. Their offensive ceiling is limited and if Minnesota builds a big lead, pace typically slows late with bench units and clock-draining possessions.
Final Score: Timberwolves 126, Mavericks 108
Lean: Minnesota -14.0
Total: Under 239.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
