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Denver vs Phoenix Betting Breakdown and Expert Pick

Expert Nuggets vs Suns breakdown featuring odds insight and a sharp matchup prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Devin Booker
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Denver (13-5) at Phoenix (12-8)

  • When: Nov 29 2025, 9:00 PM
  • Where: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ, USA
  • TV: ALT

Denver vs Phoenix Preview & Prediction

Spread: Denver -3.5
Moneyline: Denver (-165)
Total: 232.5

Denver Nuggets Betting Breakdown

Denver rolls into Phoenix carrying the emotional equivalent of a Cup hangover mixed with a mild identity crisis. The Nuggets dropped a wild 139 to 136 shootout to San Antonio, which slammed the door on their NBA Cup hopes for the third straight year. Nuggets fans are starting to treat the Cup like that optional assignment you swear you will do next semester.

Even so, Denver has reasons to feel dangerous. Jamal Murray is on a blazing streak, stacking 115 points over his last four games while handing out assists like he is running a charity. He just crossed the 10,000 point milestone, joining Denver royalty and reminding everyone exactly who he is when healthy. Nikola Jokic was a single rebound shy of yet another triple double, which is basically his version of forgetting to put the milk back in the fridge.

Peyton Watson continues to thrive as a starter, filling in for the injured Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun. His scoring has tripled, his confidence is rising, and he has embraced the “learning from Jok and Jamal” syllabus better than most rookies handle algebra.

Denver enters as the road favorite, which makes sense considering they have won six straight away from home and are built to win shootouts and slugfests. The total sits at 231.5, and Denver’s recent defensive generosity suggests a high scoring pace again.

Denver Player Prop Pick: Jamal Murray Over 23.5 Total Points – He is in peak rhythm and carrying a heavy scoring load.

Phoenix Suns Betting Breakdown

The Suns somehow managed the rare feat of losing and winning on the same night. They fell 123 to 119 to Oklahoma City but still sneaked into the NBA Cup quarterfinals thanks to point differential wizardry. Only in the NBA Cup can you lose and have it count as a gold star.

Phoenix nearly pulled off a comeback behind the unexpected flamethrowing of Collin Gillespie, who delivered career highs in points and threes. At times he looked like a Villanova robot programmed specifically to hit shots when no one is expecting it. Coach Jordan Ott praised his endless motor, calling him the Energizer Bunny, which is accurate considering he plays like caffeine has replaced his bloodstream.

The Suns remain shorthanded with Grayson Allen and Ryan Dunn still out, but their role players stepped up. Multiple players hit double figures, and Phoenix clawed back from 15 down. Their effort has not been in question; their health certainly has.

Facing Denver after an emotionally draining Cup battle will test Phoenix’s depth and defensive consistency. The Suns have the home court edge, but Denver’s firepower and pace present real challenges.

Phoenix Player Prop Pick: Devin Booker Over 24.5 Total Points – He is the Suns’ most reliable scorer and sees increased usage with injuries.

NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

Both teams come in with baggage, both can score, and both have players on serious hot streaks. Denver remains the more complete roster and has been a monster on the road.

Final Score:  Nuggets 118, Suns 112
Lean:  Denver -3.5
Total: 
Under 232.5 

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