- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Duke (21-1) vs North Carolina (18-4)
- When: Feb 7 2026, 6:30 PM
- Where: Dean E. Smith Center, Feb 7 2026, 5:30 PM
- Where to watch: ESPN
(4) Duke vs (14) North Carolina Preview & Prediction
Spread: Duke -5.5
Moneyline: Duke (-235)
Total: 151.5
Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
Duke enters Chapel Hill laying 5.5 points with the total set at 151.5, and the Blue Devils look every bit like a team built for March. At 21-1 overall and 10-0 in conference play, Duke has handled business with consistency. Jon Scheyer has this group defending at a high level, and that was clear in the 67 to 49 win over Boston College where they limited scoring chances all night.
Cameron Boozer has been the headline act, averaging 23.3 points per game, which ranks among the best in the country. His ability to score at all three levels gives Duke a reliable late game option in what should be a hostile environment. Duke is comfortable in tight spots and has already shown it can win ugly if needed.
From a betting perspective, Duke’s defensive focus and top tier efficiency give them the edge. Rivalry games can tighten up, but the Blue Devils have more consistent scoring options.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
North Carolina is 18 and 4 overall and riding a four game winning streak. The Tar Heels are undefeated at home this season and the Dean Smith Center will be rocking. Hubert Davis knows how much this game means, and his team has fed off the home crowd all year.
Caleb Wilson is averaging 20 points per game and has emerged as a go to scorer. Against Syracuse, the Tar Heels built a massive lead before letting it slip to single digits. That inconsistency is a concern when facing a disciplined team like Duke. If North Carolina strings together those mistake filled stretches, Duke will capitalize.
Still, the Tar Heels can score in bunches, and their pace could push this total into the 150s if both offenses get rolling.
Final Score Prediction
This rivalry always brings drama, but Duke’s balance and defensive edge stand out. North Carolina keeps it competitive at home, yet Duke’s execution down the stretch proves decisive.
Final Score: Duke 78, North Carolina 72
Lean: Duke -5.5
Total: Under 151.5
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
