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Florida (5-2) vs Duke (8-0)
- When: Dec 2 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(15) Florida vs (4) Duke Preview & Prediction
Spread: Duke -7.5
Moneyline: Duke (-340)
Total: 157.5
Duke Blue Devils Betting Breakdown
Duke has spent the first month of the season jumping from marquee showdown to marquee showdown, and this matchup is another high-stakes test for a group that keeps showing maturity under pressure. The Blue Devils enter undefeated after stacking wins over Texas, Kansas and Arkansas on neutral courts, and now they get a fired-up home crowd behind them before heading to Michigan State later in the week.
Their comeback win over Arkansas on Thanksgiving may end up being a defining early moment. Duke trailed by seven in the second half before locking down defensively and getting big plays from multiple contributors, something Jon Scheyer has emphasized as part of their growth curve. Caleb Foster continues to flash star potential, delivering key buckets and facilitating the offense at a high level with strong patience and improved decision making.
Freshman Nikolas Khamenia is another name emerging in Duke’s rotation. He might not put up headline scoring yet, but his impact in winning plays and defensive positioning earns him trust in meaningful minutes. Combine that with the consistent production around Cameron Boozer, and Duke looks every bit like a top four team.
The Blue Devils enter this one as deserved favorites, with the line reflecting their defensive edge, depth and their ability to adjust mid game.
Florida Gators Betting Breakdown
Florida arrives in Durham as the reigning national champions, but still working through the early bumps of a schedule loaded with competition. The Gators are 5 and 2 after splitting their San Diego trip, falling to TCU before beating Providence. Their other loss came on opening night to Arizona, so their defeats have come against quality programs.
Todd Golden’s group has leaned heavily on Thomas Haugh, who leads the team in scoring and anchors their offensive rhythm. Another key piece is Xaivian Lee, the Princeton transfer who finally broke out with a 20 point performance against Providence. His shooting has been cold to start the season, but Golden believes he will eventually steady the offense with his spacing and slashing.
Florida has handled ACC teams well so far, holding a 2 and 0 record against the conference, and they enter this matchup confident in their competitiveness in a fast tempo environment. The challenge will be keeping pace with Duke in a building where the Blue Devils tend to go on momentum runs that bury teams quickly. Florida’s defense will need to hold up far better than it did in its losses if they want to keep this within reach.
Prediction & Betting Angle
Duke is deeper, more balanced and far more consistent late in games. Florida is talented but streaky, and Cameron Indoor gives Duke a major boost in pace and energy. The Gators can hang offensively for stretches, but Duke’s defense and steady guard play should create separation.
Final Score: Duke 82, Florida 73
Lean: Duke -7.5
Total: Under 157.
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
