- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Florida (1-2) at Miami (3-0)
- When: Sep 20 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Where to watch: ABC
- Last Meeting: Miami 41-17, August 31st, 2024
Florida vs (4) Miami Preview & Prediction
Spread: Miami -7.5
Moneyline: Miami (-340)
Total: 51.0
Miami Hurricanes: Rolling Like a Top-5 Power
The Hurricanes (3-0) have been flexing like a true contender, knocking off ranked teams in two of their first three games. Last week’s 49-12 demolition of South Florida was another statement win, proving Miami is more than capable of handling physical battles.
Quarterback Carson Beck, the Georgia transfer, looks locked in. Completing nearly 80% of his passes, Beck threw for 340 yards and 3 TDs last week. With his size, mobility, and Miami’s dominant O-line, he’s made this offense dangerous both through the air and on the ground. The defense has been just as stout, holding opponents to just 13 points per game and flashing a physical front seven that’s no longer a liability.
Player Prop to Watch – Carson Beck Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Beck has been torching defenses with accuracy and poise. Against a Florida secondary that has looked shaky, he’s in prime position to hit pay dirt multiple times.
Florida Gators: Searching for Stability
Florida (1-2) finds itself at a crossroads after back-to-back losses. Head coach Billy Napier insists his group is “close to being dangerous,” but the results haven’t matched the optimism. Their latest 20-10 loss to LSU was competitive, but QB DJ Lagway’s five interceptions overshadowed the effort.
To their credit, the Gators’ defense has kept them competitive, allowing only two touchdowns across three games and holding every opponent under 21 points. However, the turnovers and offensive inconsistency continue to drag them down. To have any shot in Miami, Florida will need Lagway to play a clean game and lean heavily on the run to avoid putting too much pressure on him.
Player Prop to Watch – DJ Lagway Over 0.5 Interceptions
Given his five-pick meltdown against LSU and Miami’s aggressive secondary, it’s hard to see Lagway avoiding mistakes again.
Prediction & Betting Angle
Miami looks like a playoff-caliber squad, while Florida is still searching for stability and confidence. Beck’s poise, Miami’s depth, and a disciplined defense should be too much for the Gators, even if they hang tough for a half.
Final Score: Miami 31, Florida 17
Lean: Miami -7.5
Total: Under 51.0
- NCAA Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
