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Game 1 ALDS Picks: Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles (Oct. 7th, 2023)

The Texas Rangers (90-72) are set to face the Baltimore Orioles (101-61) in Game 1 of the ALDS at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday

  • MLB Betting Preview: Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
  • TV: FS1
  • Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+115) Baltimore (-140)

The Texas Rangers (90-72) are set to face the Baltimore Orioles (101-61) in Game 1 of the ALDS at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The betting odds for this game favor Texas at +115, while Baltimore stands at -140. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Dane Dunning and Kyle Bradish.

Rangers vs Orioles Odds

Moneyline
Texas Rangers   +127
Baltimore Orioles   -152

TRunline
Texas Rangers   1.5 (-170)
Baltimore Orioles   -1.5 (+145)

Total
Over   8.0 (-110)
Under   8.0 (-110)

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

The Texas Rangers have a slugging rate of .452 and have struck out 1,416 times, while drawing 599 walks. They have recorded 845 runs batted in and 1,470 base hits this season, with a batting average of .263. The Rangers have hit 233 home runs and 326 doubles as a team, scoring a total of 881 runs and holding a team OBP of .337. They are currently averaging 5.4 runs per game, ranking 3rd in the league.

Their pitching staff holds a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and a collective WHIP of 1.27. Texas pitchers have given up 198 home runs and 716 total runs this season, placing them 14th in MLB. They have allowed 1,330 base hits and 683 earned runs, with a team earned run average of 4.28 (18th in the league). The Rangers’ pitching staff has struck out 1,351 hitters and walked 491, with a FIP of 4.32.

The Rangers’ bullpen has seen action in 467 games this season. They have inherited 273 base runners, allowing 86 of them to score (31.5%). Their save percentage stands at 47.6%, with 30 saves converted and 33 blown saves out of 63 opportunities. The relief pitchers have recorded 80 holds this season (20th in the league), entering the game with runners on 163 occasions and making 160 appearances in high leverage situations.

Defensively, the Rangers have a .990 fielding percentage (2nd in MLB), with 4,309 putouts, 1,423 assists, and 57 errors. They have also turned 143 double plays.

Dane Dunning has a career record of 23-25, with a FIP of 4.23. He has faced 2,046 hitters in his career, allowing 472 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and issuing 173 walks. Dunning has an ERA of 4.16, 426 strikeouts, and a WHIP of 1.350 in 477 innings pitched.

The Baltimore Orioles have an on-base percentage of .321 and a team batting average of .255 this season. They have struck out 1,370 times and recorded 1,399 base hits. The Orioles have hit 183 home runs and driven in 780 runs. They hold a team SLG% of .421 and average 4.98 runs per game (7th in the league). Baltimore has hit 309 doubles and drawn 512 walks, scoring a total of 807 runs.

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As a pitching staff, the Orioles have a WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 3.98. They have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,431 strikeouts against 473 walks) and have allowed 1,334 hits. The Orioles have given up 177 home runs and allow an average of 4.20 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). They have surrendered 678 runs and hold a team ERA of 3.90 (629 earned runs).

The Orioles’ bullpen has been called upon in 191 save situations, converting 49 saves and blowing 31. They have recorded 108 holds and pitched in high leverage situations 205 times, entering the game with base runners on 197 occasions. Baltimore relievers have inherited 289 base runners, allowing 98 of them to score (33.9%). They have dispatched 560 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

Defensively, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (12th in professional baseball), with 140 double plays, a .988 fielding percentage (5th in MLB), 1,444 assists, and 71 errors. They have also amassed 4,361 putouts.

Kyle Bradish has given up 251 hits in his pro baseball career and has struck out 279 in 286 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 117 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.191 and a FIP of 3.8. Bradish owns a career win-loss record of 16-14, with a 3.68 ERA and an average of 7.9 hits per nine innings.

The Pick: Take Texas (+115).

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