- Sports Betting Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
- TV: TBS
- Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+166) Atlanta (-198)
The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) will face off against the Atlanta Braves (104-58) in Game 1 of the NLDS at Truist Park on Saturday. The odds for this game have Philadelphia as underdogs at +166, while Atlanta is favored at -198. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this matchup will be Ranger Suarez for the Phillies and Spencer Strider for the Braves.
Phillies vs Braves Odds
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies +170
Atlanta Braves -210
Runline
Philadelphia Phillies 1.5 (-120)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (EVEN)
Total
Over 8.5 (-110)
Under 8.5 (-110)
Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
The Philadelphia Phillies have been averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking 8th in the league. They have scored a total of 796 runs and have an OBP of .327. The Phillies have hit 291 doubles and 220 home runs. They have recorded 771 RBIs and 1,417 hits, with a team batting average of .256. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .438 and has struck out 1,481 times, while drawing 539 walks.
The Phillies have an ERA of 4.02, ranking 11th in the league. Their pitchers have struck out 1,454 batters and given up 185 home runs. They have allowed a total of 715 runs, placing them 12th in the league. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has issued 470 walks and has a FIP of 4.00. They have surrendered 1,317 hits and 645 earned runs. The Phillies have used 523 relief pitchers this season, with a save percentage of 63.4%. They have recorded 87 holds and have blown 26 saves.
Defensively, the Phillies have made 4,327 putouts with 1,385 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is .984, ranking 21st in the league. Philadelphia has turned 117 double plays and has a 69.5% efficiency on balls hit into play.
Ranger Suarez has pitched 454 innings in his MLB career, with 409 strikeouts. His ERA stands at 3.41, allowing 172 earned runs. Suarez has given up 434 hits and 161 walks, giving him a WHIP of 1.311. He has faced 1,920 batters so far in his career.
The Atlanta Braves have hit 307 home runs and recorded 916 RBIs this season. They have 293 doubles, 538 walks, and 947 runs scored. Atlanta has an on-base percentage of .344 and a batting average of .276. The Braves have a team slugging percentage of .501 and average 5.85 runs per game, the highest in the league. They have struck out 1,289 times and have 1,543 hits.
On the defensive side, Atlanta has a team WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 4.10. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 and have given up 1,341 hits. The Braves have allowed 187 home runs and 716 runs, with a team ERA of 4.14.
Atlanta has utilized their bullpen in 78 save chances, converting 52 of them. They have a save percentage of 66.7% and have used 532 relief pitchers this season. The Braves’ relievers have stepped onto the field 171 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with runners on base. They have inherited 188 base runners and allowed 31.4% of them to score. The Braves have earned 102 holds and blown 26 saves.
Defensively, the Braves have a 68.5% efficiency on defense, with 134 double plays turned. They have a fielding percentage of .986, with 1,339 assists and 82 errors. Atlanta has recorded 4,320 putouts.
Spencer Strider has given up 234 hits in his career while striking out 483 in 320 innings. He has allowed 120 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.054 and a FIP of 2.5. Strider has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.64 and has faced 1,300 hitters.
Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
The Pick: Take Philadelphia (+166)
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