As a sports betting writer, I’m excited to recap another action-packed week of pro football. Week 4-8 in the NFL is a prime betting time, where teams begin to reveal their true identities and we can take advantage of the odds before they adjust.
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Moneyline
Detroit Lions -125
Green Bay Packers +105
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Point Spread
Detroit Lions -1.5 (-110)
Green Bay Packers 1.5 (-110)
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Total
Over 46.0 (-110)
Under 46.0 (-110)
Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
Speaking of teams, the Dallas Cowboys haven’t lived up to their preseason hype, losing to an Arizona Cardinals squad that was expected to struggle. However, we wisely avoided that game and targeted another double-digit favorite, the San Francisco 49ers, who easily covered the spread against the New York Giants in Week 3’s Thursday Night game.
This week, the NFL Thursday Night Football matchup takes us to Lambeau Field, where the Green Bay Packers will host their NFC North Division rival, the Detroit Lions. Let’s dive into the betting odds and make our prediction.
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- Betting Odds
- Lions @ Packers Point Spread
- Detroit: -1.5 (-110)
- Green Bay: -1.5 (-110)
Both teams are coming off wins, with the Detroit Lions impressing in Week 3. They already have a Thursday Night Football victory under their belt, defeating the Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs in Arrowhead in the season opener.
Meanwhile, the Packers managed to pull off a comeback win against the New Orleans Saints last week, but it wasn’t pretty. However, despite their victory, the Packers are not favored at home in this game.
- Moneyline
- Detroit: -125
- Green Bay: -105
In a competitive division like the NFC “Norse” division, every point matters. If you believe in the Lions, go with the moneyline. If you’re leaning towards the Packers, take the 1.5 points. As a bettor, it’s always preferable to lose by a small margin rather than a narrow defeat on the moneyline.
- Point Total
- Over 45: -115
- Under 45: -105
Both teams have solid defenses, ranking 6th and 11th respectively. It’s difficult to predict whether the total points scored will go over or under. Therefore, let’s analyze the teams statistically to determine a side to support.
Analysis
Although both teams are 2-1, the paper shows that the Detroit Lions have a clear advantage. The Green Bay Packers’ offense is only slightly better than their defense, suggesting they may end up with a mediocre record this season.
On the other hand, the Lions have been impressive, narrowly missing a win against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 2. They boast a strong offense, ranking 7th in yards per play, and a stingy defense, ranking 6th in opponent yards per play. They have excellent balance.
While the Packers are not completely out of equilibrium, they are a level below the Lions. At (-125) odds, we can confidently bet on the better team to secure the victory. Despite the rivalry and the Lions playing away, the odds offer great value.
Prediction
Although the Lions have some injuries and the Packers may have key players returning, there are indications that the Packers will emerge victorious. However, the odds already reflect this, giving us the value we need to bet on the better team.
Pick: Detroit Lions Moneyline
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