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Packers vs Bears Wild Card Betting Preview and Expert Pick

Green Bay visits Chicago in a wild card rivalry game. Expert betting analysis, odds, and final score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Caleb Williams
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Green Bay (9-7-1) at Chicago (11-6)

  • When: Jan 10 2026, 8:00 PM
  • Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
  • Where to watch: Amazon Prime Video
  • Last Meeting: CHI 22-16, December 20th, 2025

Green Bay vs Chicago Preview & Prediction

Spread: Green Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Green Bay (-120)
Total: 45.0

Chicago Bears Betting Overview

Chicago finally gets to host postseason football again, and of course it comes against the one opponent that sends blood pressure through the roof. The Bears arrive with confidence built over a season that flipped expectations. After years of frustration, Chicago captured the division and earned a high playoff seed, even if the regular season ended with a couple of gut punch losses.

At home, the Bears play with pace and belief. Caleb Williams has shown real growth, especially late in games where his poise and creativity have fueled comebacks. The offense is aggressive, unafraid of fourth downs, and comfortable pushing the ball vertically. Soldier Field should be loud, tense, and borderline chaotic from the opening kick.

The Bears defense has been opportunistic, creating turnovers at key moments and feeding off crowd energy. That style suits a short spread game where momentum swings matter more than raw efficiency.

From a betting perspective, Chicago thrives when games stay close. Catching points at home against a rival they have already beaten this season puts the Bears firmly in the live underdog category.

Bears Player Prop Pick: Caleb Williams over 208.5 passing yards – Chicago will lean on Williams to attack a banged up Green Bay defense and keep pressure on throughout the game.

Green Bay Packers Betting Overview

Green Bay limps into the postseason, but rivalry games have a way of resetting the calendar. The Packers secured a playoff spot despite a rough finish, and the expectation is that their quarterback returns at the right time. When healthy, Green Bay’s offense can still stretch the field and punish coverage mistakes.

The defense has not been the same since losing its star pass rusher, and protecting leads has been an issue. However, experience matters here. Green Bay has been in this moment countless times, and that familiarity helps settle nerves in hostile environments.

The Packers know how to win ugly. If they can control tempo, avoid turnovers, and force Chicago into longer drives, they can keep this game exactly where they want it. As slight favorites, Green Bay is banking on experience over emotion.

Packers Player Prop Pick: Jordan Love over 1.5 passing touchdowns – Green Bay will look to capitalize on red zone chances rather than grinding exclusively on the ground.

Betting Outlook and Prediction

Green Bay is favored by 1.5 with the total set at 45.0. This shapes up as a tight, physical rivalry game with momentum swings and late drama. Chicago’s energy at home keeps them competitive, but Green Bay’s experience and situational execution provide a slight edge.

Expect a back and forth contest that stays within one score deep into the fourth quarter.

Final Score: Packers 23, Bears 20
Lean: Green Bay -1.5
Total: 
Under 45.0 

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