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Rockets vs Celtics Betting Preview & Prediction

Houston visits Boston in a battle of size vs shooting. Expert odds, trends & prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Kevin Durant
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Houston (2-2) at Boston (3-3)

  • When: Nov 1 2025, 8:00 PM
  • Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA, USA
  • TV: NBCS-BOS

Houston vs Boston Preview & Prediction

Spread: Houston -6.0
Moneyline: Houston (-220)
Total: 226.0

Houston Rockets Betting Outlook

The Rockets enter this matchup on a roll, winning back-to-back games in dominant fashion after opening the season 0-2. Their 139-121 dismantling of Toronto showcased just how imposing Houston’s size can be — out-rebounding the Raptors 53-22 and outscoring them 66-36 in the paint. Coach Ime Udoka’s squad has embraced an old-school, bruising style in a league obsessed with perimeter shooting, and so far, it’s paying off.

Houston’s offense hasn’t skipped a beat despite missing floor general Fred VanVleet. The team has been powered by Alperen Sengun, who’s blossomed into a legitimate star. The 6-foot-11 center is averaging 23.8 points, 8 rebounds, and 7.3 assists per game, all career highs. Sengun’s improved strength and aggressiveness make him nearly impossible to guard inside, and his passing vision punishes teams that collapse on him.

The Rockets are averaging over 127 points in their last two games, proving they can pile up buckets without relying heavily on the three-ball. Kevin Durant, yes, that Kevin Durant has also made his presence felt early, leading the team in scoring with 27.5 points per contest. Udoka has leaned on his veteran star to steady the young roster, and Durant’s efficiency and unselfishness have set the tone for Houston’s attack.

Boston Celtics Betting Outlook

Boston, meanwhile, returns home riding momentum after a gritty 109-108 win over Philadelphia. The Celtics have finally found their rhythm, stringing together three straight wins after an 0-3 start. Jaylen Brown continues to carry the scoring load, leading the team in five of its six games and dropping 32 against the Sixers.

Boston’s identity, however, is built around volume shooting from deep. The Celtics lead the league in three-point attempts, averaging a staggering 47.8 per game. With sharpshooters like Sam Hauser, Derrick White, and Anfernee Simons stretching the floor, they can overwhelm opponents in waves when the shots start falling. But that heavy perimeter reliance could clash against Houston’s physicality and size advantage inside.

Coach Joe Mazzulla has emphasized consistency, noting that Boston has steadily improved each game. The challenge will be sustaining that progress on the second night of a back-to-back against a Rockets team that punishes opponents inside.

NBA Prediction & Betting Angle

This matchup features a fascinating contrast in styles, Boston’s three-point barrage against Houston’s power game in the paint. If the Celtics’ perimeter shooters catch fire early, they can keep pace, but the Rockets’ rebounding dominance and inside scoring could wear them down over four quarters.

Houston’s physical edge and fresher legs make them the stronger side laying six points. The Under 226 is also appealing given the pace clash between Boston’s jump-shooting approach and Houston’s grind-it-out style.

Final Score:  Rockets 116, Celtics 108
Lean:  Houston -6.0
Total: 
Under 226.0 

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