Indiana (21-18) at Cleveland (33-4)
- When: Jan 12 2025, 6:00 PM
- Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH, USA
- TV: FDSOH
The Cleveland Cavaliers head into Sunday’s matchup as 9-point favorites, with the total set at 240. The red-hot Cavs will put their 12-game winning streak on the line as they host the surging Indiana Pacers in the first game of a home-and-home series. With Cleveland off to a franchise-best 33-4 start, this showdown promises plenty of fireworks.
Game Breakdown and Betting Analysis
The Pacers (5-0 in 2025) have been dominant to start the new year, winning all five games by double digits. Their latest victory was a 108-96 triumph over the shorthanded Golden State Warriors, fueled by a stellar performance from Tyrese Haliburton. The star guard posted 25 points and 10 assists, his fourth 20-point outing in the last five games and his third double-double during Indiana’s winning streak.
Haliburton’s aggressive playmaking has been the key to the Pacers’ success.
“The more I get into the paint, the more we win,” Haliburton said. “It opens up the floor for everyone.”
Pascal Siakam chipped in with 25 points and nine rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin recorded 21 points and 10 rebounds for his seventh double-double of the season. The Pacers will need similar contributions from their stars if they hope to slow down Cleveland’s juggernaut offense.
Cleveland’s Offensive Firepower
The Cavaliers (33-4) continue to roll, thanks to Darius Garland’s explosive play. Garland erupted for 40 points in Cleveland’s 132-126 win over Toronto, shooting 14-for-22 from the floor and adding nine assists. With Donovan Mitchell (22.9 PPG) sitting out for rest, Garland took command and carried the Cavs to victory.
“If he’s not an All-Star, I don’t know what an All-Star looks like,” head coach Kenny Atkinson said after Garland’s dominant performance.
Cleveland’s frontcourt was equally impressive, with Jarrett Allen posting 18 points and 15 rebounds, while Evan Mobley added 21 points, 11 rebounds, and six assists. The Cavaliers’ ability to dominate inside gives them a significant edge, especially against Indiana’s inconsistent defensive rotations.
Key Matchups and Betting Trends
Haliburton vs. Garland: Haliburton’s ability to penetrate the defense and create for his teammates will be tested against a Cavs defense that ranks among the league’s best in protecting the rim. However, Garland’s recent scoring spree and confidence make him a tough matchup on the other end.
Rebounding Battle: The Cavaliers’ frontcourt trio of Mobley, Allen, and Georges Niang has been lethal on the boards. If the Pacers can’t control the glass, Cleveland’s second-chance points could be the deciding factor.
High Total at 240: Both teams have shown the ability to pile up points quickly. However, Cleveland’s defense could slow the pace enough to make the under an intriguing play if Indiana struggles to shoot from deep.
Betting Predictions
Spread Pick (-9.0): Cleveland’s current form and home-court advantage make them a strong pick to cover the spread. The Pacers’ offense has been potent, but the Cavaliers’ defense should be able to stifle their rhythm.
Total Pick (240): While both teams are capable of lighting up the scoreboard, the number is high for a reason. Cleveland’s defense could make it tough for Indiana to reach their usual output, making the under a smart bet.
Prop Bets to Watch:
Darius Garland over 27.5 points: With Mitchell possibly resting again, Garland could put up another big scoring night.
Jarrett Allen over 12.5 rebounds: Allen’s dominance in the paint makes this a favorable prop.
Tyrese Haliburton over 9.5 assists: Haliburton’s ability to create scoring opportunities for his teammates has been crucial during Indiana’s winning streak.
Final Score Prediction
Cleveland 125, Indiana 112. The Cavaliers’ balance on both ends of the floor and their depth give them the upper hand. Expect another strong performance from Garland and Cleveland’s frontcourt as they extend their winning streak and cover the spread comfortably.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
