Indiana (43-30) at Oklahoma City (61-12)
- When: Mar 29 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: FDSOK
Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Expert Betting Preview & Predictions
Line: Thunder -10 | Total: 237.0
Oklahoma City Thunder: Chasing History, Locking Down on D
Oklahoma City is rolling into Saturday night on a dominant eight-game win streak, and with a 61-12 record, the Thunder are flirting with history. If they run the table, they’ll become just the third team in NBA history to reach the 70-win mark, joining the iconic 2015-16 Warriors and 1995-96 Bulls.
When it comes to defense, OKC is in a league of its own — literally. They boast the NBA’s top defensive rating (106.1) and have consistently smothered opponents, forcing a league-high 17.1 turnovers per game. That includes 29 points off 19 turnovers in Thursday’s 125-104 blowout over Memphis.
Lu Dort continues to anchor the perimeter defense. He was instrumental in the previous meeting vs. Indiana, helping limit Tyrese Haliburton to just 4 points while posting a +11 in plus/minus. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (SGA), who dropped 45 in that same December win, remains the offensive engine and MVP-level force for this squad.
Player Props to Watch (OKC):
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Over 30.5 points
Lu Dort: Over 1.5 steals
Chet Holmgren: Over 8.5 rebounds
Indiana Pacers: Elite Offense Meets Its Biggest Test
The Pacers are scorching offensively and currently clinging to fourth in the East. After torching Washington for a franchise-record 162 points Thursday, Indiana comes into this one having won six of its last seven. Haliburton was red-hot with 29 points and 7 triples in that game — a welcome bounce-back after a poor outing vs. OKC in December.
Indiana is one of the best in the league at taking care of the ball (13.3% turnover rate), but they’ll be up against a Thunder squad that thrives on forcing mistakes. This could be a pivotal matchup in determining whether Indiana can keep pace and stay out of the play-in mix.
Player Props to Watch (IND):
Tyrese Haliburton: Over 2.5 3-pointers
Pascal Siakam: Over 21.5 points
Obi Toppin: Over 11.5 points
Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
This game is a clash of styles: the high-octane, ball-sharing offense of Indiana versus the stingy, ball-hawking defense of Oklahoma City. While the Pacers can catch fire from deep, OKC’s ability to force turnovers and SGA’s scoring arsenal make them tough to beat, especially at home.
The Thunder already handled Indiana on the road and should be even more dangerous with home-court energy and a shot at history on the line. Expect Gilgeous-Alexander to lead the way again, with OKC pulling away late thanks to their defensive pressure and efficient transition play.
Best Bets:
Thunder -10
Over 237.0
SGA 30+ points / Haliburton 3+ threes parlay
Final Score Prediction:
Thunder 126, Pacers 113 – Oklahoma City covers with room to spare, and the total sails over.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
