Iowa State (17-2) at Arizona (13-6)
- When: Jan 27 2025, 10:30 PM
- Where: McKale Center, Tucson, AZ, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Prediction Breakdown: Arizona -2.5, Total 152.0
The spotlight is on Tucson, Arizona, as the Arizona Wildcats and the Iowa State Cyclones clash in a marquee matchup. Both programs are led by top-tier coaches who have achieved significant success since taking over their respective teams in 2021-22. Arizona’s Tommy Lloyd and Iowa State’s T.J. Otzelberger bring different strategies to the table, making this game not only exciting but also a compelling opportunity for bettors.
Arizona Wildcats Analysis
Arizona comes into this game as the 2.5-point favorite, and for good reason. Head coach Tommy Lloyd recently reached an impressive milestone, matching Gonzaga’s Mark Few as the fastest active coach to secure 100 career wins. Arizona is rolling, having won nine of its last ten games, including a dominant 78-63 victory over Colorado last Saturday.
The Wildcats’ recent success has been fueled by standout performances from role players like guard Anthony Dell’Orso and forward Henri Veesaar. Dell’Orso, a transfer, has emerged as a key contributor, dropping 20 points with six 3-pointers in the Colorado win. Veesaar has been just as impactful, averaging 10.2 points and 4.2 rebounds over his last five games, including a 19-point, seven-rebound effort against Baylor.
Arizona thrives on offensive efficiency and depth, which could be the deciding factor in this game. Playing at home and riding a hot streak, they are well-positioned to cover the small spread.
Iowa State Cyclones Analysis
The Cyclones, ranked No. 3 in the country, are no strangers to big games. They’re coming off a convincing 76-61 road win over Arizona State, where they outscored the Sun Devils 43-21 in the second half. Curtis Jones was the star of that game, exploding for a career-high 33 points, including a clutch effort during a game-closing 19-3 run.
Iowa State’s defense has been stellar this season, and their ability to turn up the intensity late in games makes them a dangerous underdog. The Cyclones are well-coached by Otzelberger, who has emphasized focus and preparation despite the quick turnaround between games. Iowa State’s balanced attack and ability to stay composed in high-pressure moments will make this a tough contest for Arizona.
Key Matchups & Betting Trends
Offense vs. Defense: Arizona’s shooting, led by Dell’Orso and Veesaar, will be tested by Iowa State’s gritty defense.
Role Players: Both teams have seen significant contributions from their supporting cast, making depth a key factor.
Quick Turnaround: With only one day of preparation, Arizona’s home-court advantage and recent momentum could tip the scales.
Betting Predictions
This game has all the makings of a tight, high-scoring battle, reflected in the total of 152. Arizona’s offensive firepower and home-court edge give them a slight advantage, but Iowa State’s ability to close out games and bring defensive intensity makes them a threat to cover.
Best Bets:
Arizona -2.5 (Home-court advantage and momentum favor the Wildcats.)
Over 152.0 (Both teams are capable of putting up points, especially late in games.)
Final Score Prediction: Arizona 79, Iowa State 75
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook