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Kansas (16-5) vs Texas Tech (16-5)
- When: Feb 2 2026, 9:00 PM
- Where: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(14) Kansas vs (11) Texas Tech Preview & Prediction
Spread: Texas Tech -4.5
Moneyline: Texas Tech (-213)
Total: 154.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Breakdown
Texas Tech returns home looking to reset after a frustrating road loss that snapped its momentum. The Red Raiders controlled long stretches of that game but lost the physical battle, especially on the glass, and paid for it late. That kind of effort does not sit well with a team that prides itself on toughness, and a bounce back response is expected in Lubbock.
The offense still runs through JT Toppin, who continues to be one of the most productive big men in the country. He was excellent again in the loss, piling up points and rebounds despite limited help around him. Texas Tech relies heavily on his ability to score inside, clean the boards, and draw defensive attention.
In the backcourt, Christian Anderson gives the Red Raiders a steady creator who can push tempo and find shooters. At home, Texas Tech typically plays faster, defends with more edge, and forces opponents into uncomfortable possessions. That home court advantage matters in a matchup this tight.
From a betting angle, laying points with Texas Tech makes sense. The Red Raiders are strong at home, motivated after a loss, and match up well physically with Kansas in this spot.
Texas Tech Player Prop Pick JT Toppin over 24.5 points – Kansas has struggled containing skilled post scorers, and Toppin’s usage remains elite.
Kansas Jayhawks Betting Breakdown
Kansas enters this matchup riding confidence after a strong win, though that game was anything but clean from start to finish. The Jayhawks were dominant early, building a massive lead behind explosive freshman play, then spent the second half hanging on.
Freshman guard Darryn Peterson was electric in limited minutes, scoring at will and creating chaos defensively. When he is on the floor, Kansas looks dangerous and fast. Conditioning remains something to monitor, but his impact per minute is undeniable.
Kansas also showed depth, with Bryson Tiller stepping up with aggressive interior play when the offense stalled. That versatility helps, but Kansas has been less consistent on the road, especially defensively.
Betting wise, Kansas can absolutely keep this close, but covering as a road underdog requires forty disciplined minutes. Against a focused Texas Tech team at home, that is a tall task.
Kansas Player Prop Pick Darryn Peterson over 20.5 points – Even with limited minutes, his scoring efficiency and usage give this number value.
Expert Final Score Prediction
This sets up as a high intensity Big 12 battle with pace on both ends. Texas Tech should control the boards better, limit turnovers, and feed off the home crowd. Kansas will make runs, but sustaining them in this environment is difficult.
Texas Tech steadies itself at home, Toppin delivers again, and the Red Raiders create separation late to cover the number.
Final Score: Texas Tech 81, Kansas 75
Lean: Texas Tech -4.5
Total: Over 154.5
- NCAAB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
