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Kentucky (9-4) vs Alabama (10-3)
- When: Jan 3 2026, 12:00 PM
- Where: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Kentucky vs (12) Alabama Preview & Prediction
Spread: Alabama -5.5
Moneyline: Alabama (-240)
Total: 175.0
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Breakdown
Alabama brings relentless tempo and scoring depth into conference play. The Crimson Tide are averaging 94.5 points per game and have already cracked 100 points five times this season. That firepower overwhelmed Kentucky repeatedly last year, including three wins where Alabama averaged 99 points.
Nate Oats’ offense is built to punish any defensive scheme, and Alabama’s confidence at home only fuels that approach. With Labaron Philon Jr. expected back, the Tide regain their offensive engine and primary playmaker. Alabama has also found secondary scoring, highlighted by Aden Holloway’s recent breakout, making this offense difficult to slow for a full 40 minutes.
Alabama’s three losses came against elite competition, and the overall profile suggests a team sharpened by a brutal nonconference slate and ready to attack league play aggressively.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Breakdown
Kentucky arrives playing solid basketball, riding a four-game winning streak and showing improved offensive balance. The Wildcats average 84.9 points per game and can score in bunches when shots are falling, as shown in their recent win over Bellarmine.
Robby Ashford is not involved here, but Kentucky does lean on physical interior play and transition scoring. Former Alabama forward Mouhamed Dioubate adds familiarity with the Tide’s system and has become a reliable contributor on both ends.
Still, Kentucky’s resume shows a clear pattern. All four losses have come against ranked opponents, and last season’s struggles defending Alabama’s pace remain a major concern. Defensive communication and transition defense will be tested immediately.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
Alabama’s tempo, depth, and home-court edge put Kentucky in a tough spot. The Crimson Tide should control pace and create separation late, while the scoring environment supports an up-and-down game.
Final Score: Alabama 93, Kentucky 84
Lean: Alabama -5.5
Total: Over 175.0
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
