LA Clippers (3-3) at Denver (3-3)
- When: May 3 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Ball Arena, Denver, CO, USA
- TV: TNT
NBA Playoffs Game 7 Betting Preview & Expert Predictions: Clippers at Nuggets
Spread: Nuggets -1.5 | Total: 207.5
Denver Nuggets – Experience Tested, Redemption Wanted
The Nuggets return to a familiar and high-stakes setting Game 7 at home. Denver is no stranger to these win-or-go-home moments, having played three Game 7s since 2019. While they’ve come out on top twice, the sting of last year’s Game 7 collapse against Minnesota still lingers. This time, they’ll look to flip the script and advance to face Oklahoma City.
Led by Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, Denver enters this game with elite talent and home court on their side. Jokic remains the X-factor, but expect Murray to play a key scoring role given his history of elevating in big games. Interim coach David Adelman is stressing a fresh mindset, despite the playoff scars of the past.
Player Prop Pick: Jamal Murray Over 21.5 Points – He’s built for clutch performances and should take on a heavy offensive load in Game 7.
Los Angeles Clippers – All-In Behind Harden and Kawhi
The Clippers extended the series with a clutch Game 6 win, fueled by resurgent performances from James Harden (28 points) and Kawhi Leonard (27 points). Harden finally quieted critics with his first elimination game win since 2020 and showed a willingness to carry the load, logging 47 minutes. Expect him to be just as aggressive in Game 7.
Coach Tyronn Lue made a crucial second-half adjustment by inserting Nicolas Batum into the lineup an unsung move that paid off on both ends. Batum’s length and defensive versatility disrupted Denver’s offense while giving L.A. more flexibility on the perimeter.
Despite their strong Game 6, the Clippers face an uphill battle in Denver. They’re just 1-4 in road Game 7s since 1978. To pull off the upset, Harden and Leonard must replicate Thursday’s output, and their supporting cast needs to rise up again.
Player Prop Pick: Kawhi Leonard Over 7.5 Rebounds – He’ll be active on the glass in a slower-paced, physical Game 7.
Final Betting Angle
With the line tight at -1.5 and total sitting at 207.5, Bovada oddsmakers are expecting a gritty, possession-based slugfest. Denver’s home court and recent playoff scars make them slightly more battle-tested. The Clippers, though dangerous, may struggle to maintain Thursday’s high-level execution on the road.
Scre Prediction: Nuggets 105, Clippers 101
Best Bet: Nuggets -1.5
Total Lean: Under 207.5 – Game 7s often tighten up, and both teams are trending defensively.
Top Props: Jamal Murray Over 21.5 Points, Kawhi Leonard Over 7.5 Rebounds
Expect intensity, a few momentum swings, and Denver pulling away late to advance.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
