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LA Rams (11-4-0) at Atlanta (6-9-0)
- When: Dec 29 2025, 8:15 PM
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Where to watch: ESPN
- Last Meeting: LAR 31-27, September 18th, 2022
LA Rams vs Atlanta Preview & Prediction
Spread: LA Rams -7.5
Moneyline: LA Rams (-377)
Total: 49.0
Los Angeles Rams Breakdown
Los Angeles enters Monday night with plenty on the line and zero interest in slowing down. The Rams are firmly in the playoff picture, fighting for position in a loaded NFC West, and every win matters for seeding and momentum. Despite a tough overtime loss last week, this offense remains the most explosive unit in football.
Matthew Stafford is playing at an elite level, distributing the ball with confidence and precision. The Rams score quickly, sustain long drives, and force defenses into uncomfortable coverage decisions. Puka Nacua has become the focal point of the passing attack, thriving in high volume situations and consistently winning matchups. When Los Angeles controls tempo, opponents struggle to keep up.
Defensively, the Rams are not perfect, but they are opportunistic and aggressive. They generate pressure at key moments and benefit greatly from playing with a lead. At home, in a primetime setting, Los Angeles is positioned to dictate flow early and force Atlanta into catch up mode.
Rams Player Prop Pick: Puka Nacua over 105.5 receiving yards – The offense continues to funnel through Nacua, especially with injuries thinning the receiver rotation.
Atlanta Falcons Breakdown
Atlanta arrives with pride and little margin for error. While playoff hopes are essentially gone, the Falcons have not folded. Recent wins show buy in from the locker room, and that matters for a team still trying to establish long term direction.
Kirk Cousins has stabilized the offense since stepping in, and Bijan Robinson remains the engine. Atlanta’s strength is its pass rush, which has improved dramatically this season. Young edge defenders have transformed a once soft defense into a disruptive front capable of creating negative plays.
The problem is consistency. Atlanta struggles to match high powered offenses score for score, and defensive breakdowns tend to surface against elite quarterbacks. Falling behind early would put significant stress on Cousins and force Atlanta away from its preferred balanced approach.
This matchup also carries emotional weight for Atlanta’s staff, many of whom have deep familiarity with Los Angeles. That knowledge helps with preparation but does not always translate to execution on the field.
Falcons Player Prop Pick: Bijan Robinson over 73.5 rushing yards – Atlanta’s best path to staying competitive is leaning heavily on Robinson to control clock and limit possessions.
Betting Outlook and Final Prediction
Los Angeles is favored by 7.5, with the total set at 49.0. The Rams offense should find success early, while Atlanta works to stay close with methodical drives. Expect points, but not a complete shootout, as the Falcons attempt to shorten the game. Los Angeles has too much firepower and motivation in this spot.
Los Angeles covers the spread and the game lands just under the total as Atlanta slows the pace when possible but cannot fully contain Stafford late.
Final Score: Rams 31, Falcons 17
Lean: LA Rams -7.5
Total: Under 49.0
- NFL Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!