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Memphis (12-11) vs North Texas (13-11)
- When: Feb 12 2026, 9:00 PM
- Where: UNT Coliseum, Denton, TX, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Memphis vs North Texas Preview & Prediction
Spread: Memphis -2.0
Moneyline: Memphis (-135)
Total: 137.0
Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
Memphis comes into this matchup off a convincing win, taking care of business in a 77-54 blowout. The Tigers were efficient enough offensively, shooting 46 percent from the floor and controlling the glass with 38 rebounds. They also created extra possessions by forcing 15 turnovers and turning those into transition opportunities.
This team thrives when the defense sets the tone. Memphis holds opponents to just over 40 percent shooting and under 30 percent from three. That perimeter defense is a major factor in a game lined with a modest total of 137. If they dictate pace and turn this into a physical half court battle, that favors the Tigers.
Offensively, Memphis averages 75 points per game but remains inconsistent from beyond the arc, shooting just over 32 percent from three. Their biggest issue is ball security and fouls. Nearly 20 personal fouls per game can create free throw opportunities for opponents and flip momentum quickly.
Still, at home and laying only two points, Memphis has the edge in athleticism and defensive intensity. If they win the rebounding margin and stay disciplined, they control this matchup.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
North Texas also enters off a dominant win, beating UTSA by 23 points. The Mean Green were active defensively, forcing 11 turnovers and recording 14 steals while limiting their opponent to just 13 percent shooting from three.
Defense is the identity here. North Texas allows just 66 points per game, ranking among the best defensive units nationally. They contest shots well, protect the arc, and grind the tempo down. That style naturally supports the under in a total sitting at 137.
The problem is scoring consistency. North Texas averages just over 70 points per game and ranks near the bottom nationally in field goal percentage. They do not overwhelm teams with pace or shot making. They rely on efficiency, free throws, and forcing mistakes.
On the road against a physical Memphis team, shot creation becomes critical. If they struggle to generate clean looks in the half court, scoring droughts could decide this one.
Final Score Prediction
This shapes up as a tight, lower scoring battle built on defense and half court execution. North Texas will try to slow it down, but Memphis has the stronger athletes and more scoring balance.
Memphis is the right side laying the short number. The Tigers should control the glass and create enough transition opportunities to separate late.
Final Score: Memphis 71, North Texas 64
Lean: Memphis -2.0
Total: Under 137.0
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
