Memphis (44-28) at Oklahoma City (60-12)
- When: Mar 27 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: FDSOK
NBA Betting Preview: Grizzlies vs Thunder – Odds, Predictions & Best Bets
Spread: Oklahoma City -9.5 | Total: 237.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder are locked in at the top of the Western Conference standings, but they’re not slowing down as they return home Thursday night to face a Memphis Grizzlies squad still jockeying for playoff position. Oddsmakers have the Thunder listed as 9.5-point favorites, with the total set at 237.5.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Outlook
Oklahoma City (60-12) enters this matchup red-hot, riding a seven-game win streak and boasting the best overall record in the NBA. With homecourt advantage for the playoffs already secured, the Thunder still have their foot on the gas. They’re 30-5 at home this season and 3-0 against Memphis in the season series.
Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and backed by a deep, balanced roster, the Thunder have been a dominant force on both ends of the floor. While Jalen Williams has missed seven straight games with a hip injury, his potential return (listed questionable) could add another spark. OKC is also hopeful to get rookie Cason Wallace back from a knee issue.
Expect Gilgeous-Alexander to continue dictating pace and scoring at will. Oklahoma City has covered the spread in four of their last five games and should have little trouble handling business at home once again.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Outlook
The Grizzlies (44-28) snapped a three-game losing skid with a 140-103 blowout win over the Jazz on Tuesday. However, they’ll once again be without star point guard Ja Morant (hamstring), a critical absence as they try to avoid slipping into the play-in bracket.
Memphis is just 16-13 without Morant this season, and while Scottie Pippen Jr. has stepped up admirably—including a near-perfect shooting night and 10 assists in Utah—the Grizzlies face a massive challenge against the league’s best team. Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. will need big scoring nights to keep Memphis competitive.
The Grizzlies are also wrapping up a five-game road trip, which could impact energy and execution.
Best Bets & Predictions
The Thunder have already won the previous three meetings this season and now return to a place where they’ve been almost unbeatable. Memphis has struggled to cover as an underdog in tough environments, and their inconsistency without Morant makes this an uphill battle.
Prediction: Thunder 123, Grizzlies 108
ATS Pick: Oklahoma City -9.5
Over/Under: UNDER 237.5 – expect OKC’s defense to clamp down late
Player Prop to Watch: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 33.5 points – with or without Williams, he’ll lead the scoring attack again.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
