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Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction NFL Week 9 Picks

The division rival Dolphins and Bills are set to renew hostilities when they meet at Highmark Stadium.

(Photo by Getty Images) Josh Allen
Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills

Event Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024

Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Broadcast: CBS

Betting Odds/Point Spread: Bills by 6.0 points

Total Points Over-Under: 49.5

This Sunday, the Buffalo Bills (6-2) will host the struggling Miami Dolphins (2-5) at Highmark Stadium. The Dolphins enter as 6.0-point underdogs according to Bovada bookmakers, with a total set at 49.5 points.

The Miami Dolphins are coming into this matchup with a disappointing 2-5 record this season. In their previous game, they narrowly lost to the Arizona Cardinals with a score of 28-27. De’Von Achane led the Dolphins’ rushing attack, carrying the ball 10 times for 97 yards (9.7 yards per carry) and averaging 8.3 yards per reception with 50 yards on 6 catches. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa performed well, completing 28 of 38 passes for 234 yards and 1 touchdown, achieving a quarterback rating of 97.9 with no interceptions. Defensively, the Dolphins allowed 82 rushing yards on 26 attempts, which averages 3.2 yards per carry. They also faced challenges in pass defense, giving up 307 yards on 26 completions from 36 attempts, resulting in a completion percentage of 72.2%. Overall, Miami ran 63 plays and accumulated 377 total yards while averaging 6.0 yards per rushing attempt with 150 rushing yards from 25 carries.

Defensively, the Dolphins are positioned 16th in the league regarding points allowed, surrendering an average of 22.4 points per game. They allow an average of 4.4 rushing yards per attempt and have given up 123.7 rushing yards per contest, accumulating a total of 866 rushing yards over 7 games. In terms of pass defense, the Dolphins have conceded 1,234 passing yards, ranking them 2nd in the NFL, allowing 176.3 yards per game with a completion percentage of 61.9%. Overall, their average total yardage allowed is 300.0 yards per game, placing them 6th in the league, with 15 touchdowns allowed (5 by air and 10 by land).

The Buffalo Bills enter this contest with a strong record of 6-2 this season. Their most recent game ended with a dominant 31-10 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. Josh Allen threw for 283 yards on 24 of 34 passing with 2 touchdowns, achieving a quarterback rating of 102.9 despite throwing 1 interception. Receiver Khalil Shakir was heavily involved, catching 9 passes for 107 yards (11.9 yards per catch). Running back James Cook excelled as well, rushing 17 times for 111 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. The Bills totaled 445 yards while executing 68 plays at an average of 6.5 yards per play. They gained 4.8 yards per carry rushing, finishing with 164 yards on 34 attempts. Defensively, the Bills allowed the Seahawks only 32 rushing yards on 17 attempts (1.9 yards per rush), while in the air, they surrendered 201 yards on 21 completions out of 29 attempts (72.4% completion percentage).

Analyzing their offensive performance, the Bills rank 5th in the league, scoring an impressive 28.8 points per game. They have recorded 1,714 passing yards so far, averaging 214.3 passing yards per game, placing them 15th in the league. With a rushing average of 122.3 yards per game, they have totaled 978 rushing yards this season. The Bills average 336.5 total yards per game, ranking them 13th overall. Their offense has accumulated 399 yards in penalties over 53 infractions, ranking them 10th in team penalties in the NFL.

On the defensive side, the Bills have given up 9 passing touchdowns and allow an average of 208.1 passing yards per game, ranking 13th in the league. They have also surrendered 962 rushing yards (120.3 rushing yards per contest) and 5 rushing touchdowns this season. The Bills’ defense has created 14 takeaways (6 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions) and has been involved in 497 defensive plays, ranking 20th in the NFL. Currently, they are conceding an average of 18.3 points per game, situating them 6th in the league.

Which team will prevail in the Dolphins vs. Bills match against the spread?

Free Prediction: Bet on the Bills -6.0

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