Miami (34-41) at Boston (56-19)
- When: Apr 2 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA, USA
- TV: ESPN
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Betting Preview
Spread: Boston -10.5 | Total: 212.0
Boston Celtics Outlook
The Celtics return home riding the league’s hottest momentum, having just completed a flawless 6-0 road trip — their longest undefeated stretch away from home in franchise history. That run improved their road record to a staggering 32-7. Now back at TD Garden, Boston will look to translate that dominance into a double-digit home win and extend their nine-game winning streak.
Boston (56-19) is already in playoff mode, focused on fine-tuning their defense and execution. Jayson Tatum has been the tone-setter, and while he’s officially listed as questionable with ankle soreness, all signs point to him playing. The Celtics have won 14 of their last 15 and covered in eight of those.
Player Prop Picks:
Jayson Tatum Over 25.5 Points – If he suits up, expect Tatum to continue leading this elite offense.
Al Horford Over 1.5 Threes Made – Horford’s outside shooting has been quietly clutch during the win streak.
Boston has already taken all three matchups from Miami this season, winning the last meeting by 19 points. With Miami undermanned and Boston at full throttle, this sets up well for another convincing win.
Miami Heat Outlook
The Heat (34-41) might be showing signs of life, riding a five-game win streak, but this recent success comes with an asterisk. Miami’s opponents haven’t been elite, and the team will be without several key contributors once again on Wednesday.
Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo have stepped up in the scoring department, but without Andrew Wiggins, Duncan Robinson, and Kevin Love — plus guard Davion Mitchell battling an illness — depth is becoming a serious concern.
Despite their recent offensive surge (averaging 117.6 points per game over the last five), Miami is 0-3 against Boston this season and struggled in the only previous game at TD Garden, losing 108-89.
Player Prop Picks:
Tyler Herro Over 24.5 Points – He’s taken over the scoring load with consistency.
Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds – Boston’s size will force Bam to play big.
The Heat will need a perfect game plan and hot shooting from their depleted roster to keep pace. Unfortunately, this matchup — on the road and against a team they haven’t figured out all year — stacks the odds heavily against them.
Expert Prediction & Best Bet
Pick Against the Spread: Boston -10.5
The Celtics are firing on all cylinders, and their ability to blow teams out has been unmatched lately. Miami’s injuries and lack of depth will make it tough to hang around.
Game Total Prediction: Over 212.0
Despite the Heat’s strong defense, Boston’s recent scoring pace and Miami’s offensive rhythm suggest this total could sneak over.
Final Score Prediction:
Celtics 116, Heat 101
Boston rolls again and stays hot on their march toward the postseason.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
