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Miami (14-7) at Dallas (7-15)
- When: Dec 3 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX, USA
- TV: FDSSUN
Miami vs Dallas Preview & Prediction
Spread: Miami -5.5
Moneyline: Miami (-210)
Total: 241.5
Dallas Mavericks Betting Breakdown
Dallas is finally showing signs of life after a brutal opening stretch, and their recent two wins weren’t flukes. This turnaround has come from unexpected places, with Cooper Flagg and Anthony Davis taking over the spotlight.
Flagg has quickly become the centerpiece of the offense. The rookie is averaging 17 points per game and has shown zero hesitation in big moments. His downhill attacks, midrange pull ups and transition bursts have given Dallas a much needed identity. Bettors should expect another aggressive effort from him with Miami’s pace forcing Dallas into an up-tempo style.
Anthony Davis has also stepped up, stacking efficient scoring nights while anchoring the defense. His 32 point, 13 rebound performance against Denver proved he can still dictate games when fully engaged. If Dallas is going to hang around as a home underdog, it begins with Davis controlling the paint.
Mavericks Player Prop Pick: Cooper Flagg Over 17.5 Points – He is playing downhill, getting volume and Miami plays fast. Good spot for scoring.
Miami Heat Betting Breakdown
Miami is heating up again, winning seven of eight and blowing the roof off the Clippers in a 140 point explosion that tied a franchise record with twenty four made threes. When Miami’s threes fall, life is simple. When they hit twenty four of them, life is a vacation brochure.
Tyler Herro returned to the lineup, immediately dropped four straight twenty point games and has not missed a beat. His debut against Dallas powered a tight win and he has not slowed since.
Bam Adebayo drilled five threes against the Clippers because apparently he woke up that morning and chose chaos. Norman Powell dropped thirty but is questionable here. Andrew Wiggins and Davion Mitchell have been perfect complementary pieces, especially Mitchell whose pace is turbocharging the offense. He is averaging nearly eight assists and pushing the ball like he is trying to beat closing time.
Miami’s rhythm, spacing and shooting profile are all surging. Even if Powell sits, the depth is strong enough to maintain pressure.
Heat Player Prop Pick: Tyler Herro Over 3.5 Made Threes – He has hit at least four in every game since returning and Dallas’ perimeter defense has been inconsistent.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
Miami is rolling, Dallas is improving and the total is sky high for a reason. Expect pace, shot making and both teams trading long range fireworks. The difference is Miami’s depth and shooting surge, which gives them the edge late.
Final Score: Heat 125, Mavericks 119
Lean: Miami -5.5
Total: Over 241.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
