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Miami (14-10) at Orlando (14-10)
- When: Dec 9 2025, 6:00 PM
- Where: Kia Center, Orlando, FL, USA
- TV: Prime Video
Miami vs Orlando Preview & Prediction
Spread: Miami -1.0
Moneyline: Miami (-115)
Total: 235.0
NBA Cup Quarterfinal Chaos Edition
Prepare yourself for a matchup featuring one team trying to remember how to play basketball and another trying to remember how to function without its best scorer. This one has drama, confusion and panic all rolled into one delicately seasoned basketball burrito.
Orlando Magic: A Team Missing Its Magic
Orlando enters this quarterfinal with the emotional stability of a dropped snow globe. Franz Wagner, their leading scorer, ankle connoisseur and general do everything guy, is out after attempting an alley oop that ended with him landing like a baby giraffe taking its first steps.
Without him, the Magic offense looks like someone unplugged their confidence. They shot twenty eight percent from deep last game, which is a nice number only if you are discussing a math exam. Yet somehow they stayed competitive thanks to their defense and the fact that New York also missed enough shots to keep things interesting.
Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero and Desmond Bane tried to keep the ship from sinking, but every possession without Wagner feels like trying to build a sandcastle during high tide. Still Orlando has beaten Miami twice this season, so there is a sprinkle of optimism buried somewhere under the stress.
Miami Heat: A Team Searching For Answers, A Map and Maybe a Hug
Miami comes into this game carrying a three game losing streak and the body language of someone who dropped their phone off a balcony. Their loss to Sacramento was so rough that Erik Spoelstra basically told everyone to sleep more, drink some water and meditate in the corner before practice.
Injuries have not helped. Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell and Pelle Larsson were all questionable, which forced Miami to unleash their tenth different starting lineup of the season. At this point Spoelstra may as well start pulling names from a hat and just hope for the best.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. had a monster game against the Kings, Simone Fontecchio hit everything, and Norman Powell remembered he is quite good. But Miami has looked lost defensively and erratic offensively, which is usually a bad combination unless the opposing team is equally confused.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
Miami is healthier, rested and absolutely desperate to stop the losing streak. Orlando is missing Wagner and could struggle to keep up offensively if shots do not fall. The previous matchups were close, but this one feels like it tilts toward Miami late.
Expect a fast pace, a lot of scoring and at least one moment where both teams wonder what on earth they are doing.
Final Score: Miami 122, Orlando 117
Lean: Miami -1.0
Total: Over 235.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
