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Miami (10-2) at Texas A&M (11-1)
- When: Dec 20 2025, 12:00 PM
- Where: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
- Where to watch: ABC
- Last Meeting: Miami (FL) 48-33, September 9th, 2023
(10) Miami vs (7) Texas A&M Preview & Prediction
Spread: Texas A&M -3.0
Moneyline: Texas A&M (-150)
Total: 48.5
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Outlook
Texas A&M finally gets its long awaited playoff moment, and it comes with the comfort of Kyle Field shaking at full volume. The Aggies enter as a 3 point favorite with everything still in front of them despite a late stumble against Texas. That loss cost them a bye, but it also lit a fire. This team thrives on defensive pressure, ranking among the national leaders in sacks and third down stops. When Texas A&M dictates tempo, opposing offenses feel like they are playing downhill all game.
Quarterback Marcel Reed gives the Aggies balance. He can beat defenses through the air, but his legs are what keep drives alive and frustrate pass rushers. The receiving corps has been reliable all season, especially in space, and the run game has been steady enough to protect late leads. From a betting perspective, the Aggies profile as a team built for playoff football. Physical defense, crowd advantage, and a quarterback who can escape trouble usually translate well in tight spreads. Laying the short number at home makes sense if the defense rebounds the way it has all season.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Outlook
Miami arrives in College Station playing its best football of the season and riding a defense that has quietly become elite. The Hurricanes allowed very little down the stretch, suffocating opponents and turning games into grind fests. Their four game closing run was dominant, not just wins but statement performances that showed control from start to finish.
Carson Beck runs the offense with poise, even if mobility is not his strength. Miami compensates by protecting him well and leaning on timing routes and disciplined execution. Freshman receiver Malachi Toney has been a breakout weapon and gives the Hurricanes a true difference maker on the perimeter. Miami’s defensive depth is also getting healthier at the right time, which matters against an Aggies offense that relies on sustained pressure.
From a wagering angle, Miami fits the profile of a live underdog. Strong defense, confidence, and recent momentum make taking the points attractive, especially with a total sitting under 50. They are comfortable winning ugly.
Betting Outlook and Prediction
This matchup screams playoff intensity. Both defenses are built to slow the game down, and both teams understand one mistake can swing everything. Texas A&M’s home field and defensive front give them the edge late, but Miami will not fold.
Expect a tight, physical contest with long drives and limited explosive plays. Texas A&M finds just enough offense in the second half to separate.
Final Score: Texas A&M 24, Miami 20
Lean: Texas A&M -3.0
Total: Under 48.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
