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Milwaukee (89-57) at Texas (76-70)
- When: Sep 10 2025, 2:35 PM
- Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington
- Where to watch: RSN
Brewers vs. Rangers – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Milwaukee -145
Spread: Milwaukee -1.5 (+125)
Total: 7.5
Texas Rangers Betting Outlook
The Rangers are on a roll, taking the first two games of this series, including Tuesday’s comeback 5-4 win behind rookie Michael Helman, who homered and robbed one at the wall. It marked their third straight victory and 13th in their last 17 games.
At 76-70, Texas remains in the thick of the playoff chase. They sit 2.5 games behind Houston in the AL West while also eyeing a wild-card spot, trailing Seattle by just 1.5 games. Despite a season full of injuries, Bruce Bochy’s group is proving resilient with a “next man up” mentality that has fueled this surge.
Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the finale. Since arriving from Arizona at the trade deadline, he’s been rock-solid, 2-1 with a 2.98 ERA over seven starts. Kelly has allowed more than three earned runs just once in that span, including seven strong innings against Houston in his most recent outing. Historically, he’s been effective against Milwaukee with a 4-2 record and a 2.77 ERA across nine career starts.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Outlook
The Brewers (89-57) still own a commanding 6.5-game lead in the NL Central, but they’ve dropped the first two in Arlington and will lean on their ace to avoid the sweep. Freddy Peralta (16-5, 2.50 ERA) takes the mound riding one of the hottest streaks of any pitcher in baseball.
Peralta hasn’t allowed a run in 29 consecutive innings and has gone 4-0 with a ridiculous 0.27 ERA over his last six appearances. He struck out eight while giving up just two hits in his last outing against Philadelphia, though he took a no-decision.
This season has been a career-best for Peralta, who has emerged as Milwaukee’s clear-cut ace. His consistency, preparation, and energy have become cornerstones for the Brewers, and his teammates feed off his dominance. Against the Rangers, he brings a 1-0 lifetime record and a 3.18 ERA into the matchup.
MLB Prediction & Betting Angle
This matchup is a battle of two in-form pitchers, with Peralta looking untouchable lately and Kelly giving Texas steady innings since the deadline. The Rangers’ momentum and home field can’t be ignored, but Peralta’s streak is too strong to bet against. Milwaukee avoids the sweep behind another gem from Peralta, while Kelly keeps it close but gets outdueled in a tight, low-scoring contest.
Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Rangers 2
Pick: Milwaukee -1.5 (+125)
Total: Under 7.5 (-119)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
