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Minnesota (23-5) at Las Vegas (14-13)
- When: Aug 2 2025, 3:00 PM
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
- TV: ABC
Minnesota and Las Vegas – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -5.5 | Total: 167.0
Minnesota Lynx Betting Outlook
The Lynx (23-5) are hitting peak form at the right time, fresh off a statement win over the New York Liberty. That 100-93 victory not only avenged last year’s Finals loss but also reinforced Minnesota’s status as the WNBA’s most complete team. Led by MVP frontrunner Napheesa Collier, who torched the Liberty for 30 points, the Lynx continue to be the league’s top defensive unit, giving up just 76.0 points per game.
Collier’s offensive evolution has added a new dimension, she’s now scoring at all three levels, making her nearly impossible to shut down. Minnesota also ranks second in scoring at 86.4 points per game, and they’ve already dismantled the Aces twice this season, including a 109-point outburst on July 25.
Player Prop Pick: Napheesa Collier Over 23.5 Points – Collier has hit 30+ in two of her last three and dropped 30 against New York. She’s on a heater and faces a Vegas team she’s already punished.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Outlook
Las Vegas (14-13) has been heating up, winning five of their last seven after a rocky midseason stretch. The defending champs are still adjusting post-Kelsey Plum, but A’ja Wilson continues to dominate. She poured in 34 points in their recent win over the Sparks and is averaging 22.1 PPG, second in the league.
Coach Becky Hammon’s decision to bring Jewell Loyd off the bench has given the Aces some much-needed spark. Jackie Young also notched her first triple-double last game, but this team still lives and dies by Wilson’s output.
That said, the Aces have struggled against the Lynx this season, losing both prior matchups by double digits. With their defense still finding its footing and Minnesota firing on all cylinders, the Aces will need a monster outing to stay in this one.
Player Prop Pick: A’ja Wilson Over 24.5 Points – Wilson knows she has to carry the load. With 34 points last game and two double-digit losses to Minnesota in her rearview, she’ll be aggressive from the jump.
Prediction & Betting Outlook
Minnesota has owned this matchup and brings both momentum and motivation into Vegas. The Aces are improving, but not enough to slow down a Lynx team that’s locked in on both ends of the court. Minnesota covers the spread, and the total stays just under in a defensively disciplined showdown.
Best Bet: Minnesota -5.5
Toral: Under 167.0
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 86, Las Vegas 78
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
