Minnesota (19-17) at Orlando (22-16)
- When: Jan 9 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Kia Center, Orlando, FL, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Minnesota enters Thursday’s matchup as a -6.0 favorite, with the total set at 202 points, as they take on an Orlando Magic squad that could be bolstered by the long-awaited return of Paolo Banchero.
Game Preview & Betting Analysis
The Magic’s fan base was buzzing after Paolo Banchero hinted at an imminent return from his torn right oblique, potentially making Thursday the first time he suits up since October 30. Although still listed as questionable, reports suggest Banchero has received the green light to play either Thursday against Minnesota or Friday versus Milwaukee. His return would provide a significant boost to a team that has already shown resilience despite multiple injuries.
Orlando’s “next-man-up” mentality was on full display in their recent 103-94 victory over the Knicks. Cole Anthony led the way with 24 points in place of Jalen Suggs, while Wendell Carter Jr. added a season-high 19 points off the bench. The Magic shot 50% from the floor and have now won three of their last five games. Anthony Black, who returned from a four-game absence due to a back injury, added nine points and five assists, emphasizing the team’s depth.
Coach Jamahl Mosley praised the team’s ability to stay competitive: “We can roll out any five and compete. The proof is in the pudding.”
Timberwolves’ Recent Form
Minnesota has bounced back from a three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins, defeating the Clippers 108-106 and the Pelicans 104-97. Anthony Edwards has been unstoppable, averaging 40.6 points over his last three games, including a franchise-record 122 points and 23 made threes during that stretch.
Defensively, Rudy Gobert has been a force, grabbing 14 rebounds and recording six blocks against New Orleans. His fourth-quarter dominance, with three key blocks, helped secure the win. Gobert emphasized his role: “The team needs me to be the best in the world on defense for us to reach our goals.”
Julius Randle has also been quietly contributing on both ends, stepping up in his defensive assignments and maintaining efficient offensive numbers, despite a reduced role compared to his time in New York.
Key Matchups and Betting X-Factors
Paolo Banchero’s Impact: If Banchero plays, his scoring and versatility could disrupt Minnesota’s defensive game plan. However, his conditioning and rhythm after a long absence could be an issue.
Anthony Edwards’ Scoring Streak: Edwards’ recent scoring binge makes his points prop an enticing play. If Orlando can’t slow him down, Minnesota could cover the spread easily.
Rudy Gobert vs. Magic’s Interior: Gobert’s rebounding and shot-blocking could make it tough for the Magic to score in the paint, especially if Wendell Carter Jr. takes on an increased offensive role.
Betting Predictions
Spread Pick (-6.0): The Timberwolves’ recent form and Edwards’ offensive explosion make them a solid choice to cover the spread, especially if Banchero sits out or is limited. However, if Banchero returns at full strength, this game could stay tighter than expected.
Total Pick (202): With both teams emphasizing defense and Minnesota’s slower pace, the under is a viable option. However, if Edwards and Banchero engage in a scoring duel, the over could come into play.
Prop Bets to Watch:
Anthony Edwards over 29.5 points: Edwards’ scoring tear makes this a solid bet.
Rudy Gobert over 12.5 rebounds: Gobert has been dominant on the glass, especially in close games.
Cole Anthony over 15.5 points: If Banchero is out or limited, Anthony could once again lead the offense.
Final Score Prediction:
Minnesota 105, Orlando 94. The Timberwolves’ combination of Edwards’ scoring and Gobert’s defensive presence should be enough to cover the spread, while the Magic may struggle offensively even if Banchero returns. Expect Minnesota to control the tempo and stay in the playoff hunt with another solid win.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
