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Minnesota (27-15) at San Antonio (28-13)
- When: Jan 17 2026, 8:00 PM
- Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX, USA
- TV: FDSN
Minnesota vs San Antonio Preview & Prediction
Spread: San Antonio -5.5
Moneyline: San Antonio (-225)
Total: 228.0
San Antonio Spurs Betting Breakdown
San Antonio returns home looking to avoid a season sweep and strengthen its position near the top of the Western Conference. The Spurs have taken a massive step forward this year and enter this matchup playing confident, efficient basketball. Their recent blowout win showed just how dangerous they can be when the offense is flowing and the ball is moving.
The Spurs have leaned into spacing, quick decisions, and unselfish play, which has allowed their young core to thrive. Victor Wembanyama continues to evolve into a matchup nightmare, stretching the floor while still dominating inside. San Antonio has also been more disciplined lately, limiting turnovers and closing games with authority.
As a 5.5 point home favorite with the total set at 228.0, this spot sets up well for San Antonio. They are rested, playing with momentum, and motivated after dropping the first two meetings. Expect the Spurs to push pace early and apply pressure defensively to create separation.
Spurs Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama over 22.5 points
Wembanyama’s shooting confidence has been trending up and he should see plenty of scoring opportunities against Minnesota’s interior defense.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Breakdown
Minnesota arrives in San Antonio coming off a frustrating loss that highlighted recurring late game issues. While the Timberwolves have been one of the league’s better teams over the past two months, execution down the stretch remains inconsistent, especially on the road.
Julius Randle carried the offense in their last outing, but the team struggled at the free throw line and committed costly turnovers when the game tightened. Minnesota plays best when it controls tempo and forces opponents into half court sets, but that becomes difficult against a Spurs team that thrives in transition.
The biggest question surrounds availability and fatigue. Minnesota is on short rest and may again be without Anthony Edwards, which significantly limits perimeter scoring and late game shot creation. Even if he suits up, the workload could be managed.
Timberwolves Player Prop Pick: Julius Randle over 22.5 points
Randle has taken on a heavier scoring role and should remain aggressive, especially if Minnesota is missing offensive firepower.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
San Antonio is favored by 5.5 points, and this feels like a strong bounce back spot after two narrow losses to Minnesota earlier this season. The Spurs have been far more consistent at home and are playing cleaner basketball right now.
The total of 228.0 leans slightly over given both teams’ ability to score, but San Antonio’s execution and depth should be the deciding factors.
Final Score: Spurs 119, Timberwolves 111
Lean: San Antonio -5.5
Total: Over 228.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
