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New England (11-3-0) at Baltimore (7-7-0)
- When: Dec 21 2025, 8:20 PM
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
- Where to watch: NBC/Peacock
- Last Meeting: BAL 37-26, September 25th, 2022
New England vs Baltimore Preview & Prediction
Spread: Baltimore -3.5
Moneyline: Baltimore (-188)
Total: 49.5
Baltimore Ravens Betting Overview
Baltimore enters Sunday night in a strange spot. The Ravens are chasing the AFC North lead but sit at just 7-7, making every remaining game feel urgent. Despite the uneven record, oddsmakers still favor Baltimore by 3.5 at home, largely because of matchup edges and familiarity with what New England wants to do offensively.
Derrick Henry remains the centerpiece of this offense. His power and downhill style give Baltimore a physical identity that shows up late in games. Against a Patriots defense that has played well but has not faced many bruising rushing attacks recently, Henry’s presence forces constant attention in the box.
Lamar Jackson is still rounding back into form after missing practice time over the last month, but signs of improvement have shown up the past two games. Even when Jackson is not at peak explosiveness, his ability to extend plays stresses defenses and opens running lanes.
The concern for Baltimore is home performance. The Ravens have struggled at M and T Bank Stadium this season, and another loss would make this one of the roughest home years in franchise history. That puts extra pressure on the defense to start fast and avoid letting New England control tempo.
Player Prop Pick Ravens: Derrick Henry over 77.5 rushing yards – Baltimore is likely to lean on the run early and often, especially in a prime-time game with playoff implications.
New England Patriots Betting Overview
New England arrives with one of the league’s best records and a perfect road mark. Even after a loss to Buffalo, the Patriots are firmly in control of the AFC East and can lock up a playoff spot with the right result.
Drake Maye has been the engine. His ability to push the ball downfield has changed how defenses play New England, forcing safeties deeper and opening underneath routes. Maye balances aggression with patience, which has kept drives alive and limited costly mistakes.
The Patriots defense continues to thrive on discipline and forcing opponents into uncomfortable situations. While they have not faced many elite rushing attacks, their ability to tackle and adjust midgame has kept them competitive in tough environments.
New England’s road confidence is real. They have shown no fear playing in hostile stadiums, and that matters against a Ravens team that has not fully protected home turf this season.
Player Prop Pick Patriots: Drake Maye over 239.5 passing yards – Baltimore’s secondary has been banged up, and Maye’s willingness to attack vertically gives him a strong yardage ceiling.
Betting Outlook & NFL Expert Prediction
Baltimore is favored by 3.5 with the total at 49.5. This sets up as a tightly contested game where physical football meets explosive passing. Expect both teams to have stretches of control.
Baltimore’s rushing attack and urgency should be enough to edge this out late, but New England will not go quietly.
Final Score: Ravens 27, Patriots 24
Lean: New England +3.5
Total: Over 49.5
- NFL Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
