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New York (21-12) at Minnesota (27-5)
- When: Aug 16 2025, 2:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: CBS
New York vs Minnesota – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -1.0 | Total: 165.5
Minnesota Lynx Betting Breakdown
The Lynx enter as 1.0-point favorites with the total set at 165.5, and they’ve owned this matchup so far, winning both previous meetings. Minnesota rolled to a 100-93 victory at home in late July and followed with an 83-71 win on the road last weekend.
They’ve now clinched the WNBA’s first playoff spot, riding a five-game winning streak despite MVP candidate Napheesa Collier sidelined since August 2. Trade-deadline pickup DiJonai Carrington has stepped up, scoring 15 points off the bench in the last Liberty matchup while embracing her role on a championship-contending squad.
The Lynx’s balanced attack, depth, and ability to dictate pace have made them one of the most reliable betting teams all season.
Lynx Prop Pick: DiJonai Carrington Over 10.5 points – her bench spark and recent production against New York make her a valuable play.
New York Liberty Betting Breakdown
The defending champs are looking to avoid an 0-3 hole against Minnesota this season. The Liberty are 21-12 overall but have been shorthanded for weeks, missing Breanna Stewart (knee), Isabelle Harrison (concussion), and Nyara Sabally (knee). Still, they fought through a tough road swing, beating L.A. before falling narrowly to Las Vegas.
Sabrina Ionescu continues to carry the load, refusing to lean on injuries as an excuse. Her perimeter shooting and ability to create offense will be vital if New York is to flip the script against the Lynx. With their interior presence depleted, the Liberty will likely rely on pace, ball movement, and Ionescu’s leadership.
Liberty Prop Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 three-pointers – with Stewart out, her green light from deep is undeniable in this matchup.
WNBA Prediction & Betting Angle
The Lynx have been the steadier, deeper team, even without Collier and their confidence against New York is sky-high. The Liberty are gritty but undermanned, making it tough to keep pace on the road.
Best Bet: Minnesota -1.0
Toral: Over 165.5
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 86, New York 81
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
